12 August 2023 at 11:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Arsenal dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.3
Average goals per game
63%
Games with 3+ goals
25%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (82%) — the odds may underestimate Arsenal.
Market Summary
Margin: 7.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.12 | 6.50 | 12.00 |
| Max | 1.18 | 7.86 | 15.67 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 81.6% | 12.3% | 6.1% |
| Public market | 80.2% | 13.5% | 6.3% |
| Δ | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2625/26 | Nottingham Forest | 0–0 | Arsenal | 6.00/4.33/1.53 |
| 13/09/2525/26 | Arsenal | 3–0 | Nottingham Forest | 1.38/5.13/8.07 |
| 26/02/2524/25 | Nottingham Forest | 0–0 | Arsenal | 3.94/3.50/1.96 |
| 23/11/2424/25 | Arsenal | 3–0 | Nottingham Forest | 1.39/4.79/9.08 |
| 30/01/2423/24 | Nottingham Forest | 1–2 | Arsenal | 7.76/4.98/1.38 |
| 12/08/2323/24 | Arsenal | 2–1 | Nottingham Forest | 1.16/7.12/14.22 |
| 20/05/2322/23 | Nottingham Forest | 1–0 | Arsenal | 5.37/4.38/1.58 |
| 30/10/2222/23 | Arsenal | 5–0 | Nottingham Forest | 1.20/6.97/14.62 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Arsenal
Away Record: Nottingham Forest
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Arsenal defeated Nottingham Forest 2:1. The match was played in Premier League 2023. Goals were scored by E. Nketiah 26′, B. Saka 32′, T. Awoniyi 82′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Arsenal had 78% possession while Nottingham Forest held 22%. Arsenal had 15 shots (7 on target) compared to 6 (2 on target) for Nottingham Forest. Expected goals: Arsenal 0.83 — Nottingham Forest 1.18. Arsenal made 3 substitutions, Nottingham Forest made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Arsenal and Nottingham Forest — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Gabriel Martinelli
assist: W. Saliba
assist: A. Elanga
Match Statistics
Arsenal had 78% possession against Nottingham Forest's 22%. Arsenal registered 15 shots (7 on target) while Nottingham Forest managed 6 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 8–3. Fouls committed: 12–12.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Arsenal have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats. Nottingham Forest show 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.
Arsenal
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest Head to Head Results
Arsenal and Nottingham Forest have met 11 times — Arsenal won 6, Nottingham Forest won 3, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2016. Arsenal leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 31 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.82 per match (24 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (18%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (64%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Arsenal are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2018.
6
Arsenal
2
Drawn
3
Nottingham Forest
Recent Meetings (11)
API data: 15 Mar 2026