20 May 2023 at 16:30

Referee: A. Taylor

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Arsenal dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Nottingham Forest1wins
2draws8 meetings
Arsenal5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

63%

Games with 3+ goals

25%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 4.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 18.6%Draw 22.8%Away 63.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min5.254.331.55
Max5.504.471.61
Over 2.5: 63.7%Under 2.5: 42.0%
Market favourite:Arsenal · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market18.1%21.7%60.2%
Public market18.0%21.8%60.2%

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Nottingham Forest
Result vs. Market: Arsenal (63%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Nottingham ForestHalf-time:10Arsenal
6Shots11
2Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
17/01/26Nottingham Forest0–0Arsenal6.00/4.33/1.53
13/09/25Arsenal3–0Nottingham Forest1.38/5.13/8.07
26/02/25Nottingham Forest0–0Arsenal3.94/3.50/1.96
23/11/24Arsenal3–0Nottingham Forest1.39/4.79/9.08
30/01/24Nottingham Forest1–2Arsenal7.76/4.98/1.38
12/08/23Arsenal2–1Nottingham Forest1.16/7.12/14.22
20/05/23Nottingham Forest1–0Arsenal5.37/4.38/1.58
30/10/22Arsenal5–0Nottingham Forest1.20/6.97/14.62

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Nottingham Forest

W 95D 86L 121
Over 2.547
Goals scored365

Away Record: Arsenal

W 699D 305L 252
Over 2.554
Goals scored2287

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Nottingham Forest defeated Arsenal 1:0. The match was played in Premier League 2022. Goals were scored by T. Awoniyi 19′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Nottingham Forest had 18% possession while Arsenal held 82%. Nottingham Forest had 6 shots (2 on target) compared to 11 (3 on target) for Arsenal. Expected goals: Nottingham Forest 0.55 — Arsenal 0.64. Nottingham Forest made 4 substitutions, Arsenal made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Nottingham Forest and Arsenal — 1 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
Kick Off
Half Time
63′
G. XhakaE. Nketiah
63′
J. KiwiorK. Tierney
70′
L. TrossardFábio Vieira
DaniloC. Kouyaté
73′
FelipeW. Boly
79′
T. AwoniyiB. Johnson
79′
K. NavasW. Hennessey
90+9′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Nottingham Forest had 18% possession against Arsenal's 82%. Nottingham Forest registered 6 shots (2 on target) while Arsenal managed 11 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 3–6. Fouls committed: 11–12.

2Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal7
6Total Shots11
1Blocked Shots1
5Shots insidebox7
1Shots outsidebox4
11Fouls12
3Corner Kicks6
1Offsides1
18%Ball Possession82%
3Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
161Total passes724
80Passes accurate644
50%Passes %89%
0.55expected_goals0.64

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Nottingham Forest have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Arsenal show 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Nottingham Forest

WDDWWD

Arsenal

DLWLLW

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Head to Head Results

Nottingham Forest and Arsenal have met 2 times — Nottingham Forest won 0, Arsenal won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Arsenal leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 3 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.50 per match (0 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–0 in 2025.

0

Nottingham Forest

1

Drawn

1

Arsenal

Goals: 0Goals: 3

Recent Meetings (2)

17 Jan 2026Nottingham Forest0 – 0Arsenal
13 Sept 2025Arsenal3 – 0Nottingham Forest
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026