Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.3
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Market Summary
Margin: 5.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.83 | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| Max | 1.83 | 3.70 | 4.20 |
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2625/26 | Manchester City | 2–1 | Arsenal | 1.83/3.70/4.20 |
| 21/09/2525/26 | Arsenal | 1–1 | Manchester City | 1.89/3.85/3.90 |
| 02/02/2524/25 | Arsenal | 5–1 | Manchester City | 1.96/3.54/3.87 |
| 22/09/2424/25 | Manchester City | 2–2 | Arsenal | 1.83/3.59/4.51 |
| 31/03/2423/24 | Manchester City | 0–0 | Arsenal | 1.91/3.82/3.81 |
| 08/10/2323/24 | Arsenal | 1–0 | Manchester City | 2.88/3.46/2.42 |
| 26/04/2322/23 | Manchester City | 4–1 | Arsenal | 1.55/4.45/5.59 |
| 15/02/2322/23 | Arsenal | 1–3 | Manchester City | 2.91/3.50/2.40 |
| 01/01/2221/22 | Arsenal | 1–2 | Manchester City | 5.85/4.55/1.52 |
| 28/08/2121/22 | Manchester City | 5–0 | Arsenal | 1.25/6.03/12.20 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Manchester City
Away Record: Arsenal
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Manchester City defeated Arsenal 2:1. The match was played in Premier League 2025. Goals were scored by R. Cherki 16′, K. Havertz 18′, E. Haaland 65′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Manchester City had 59% possession while Arsenal held 41%. Manchester City had 15 shots (5 on target) compared to 9 (3 on target) for Arsenal. Expected goals: Manchester City 1.41 — Arsenal 1.53. Manchester City made 4 substitutions, Arsenal made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Manchester City and Arsenal — 3 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
assist: M. Nunes
Match Statistics
Manchester City had 59% possession against Arsenal's 41%. Manchester City registered 15 shots (5 on target) while Arsenal managed 9 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 8–5. Fouls committed: 5–12.
Lineups
Manchester City lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under Pep Guardiola, while Arsenal deployed a 4-3-3 under Mikel Arteta.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Manchester City is 7.14, compared to 7.01 for Arsenal. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Manchester City's highest-rated starter is Marc Guéhi (7.61), while Arsenal's best-rated player is Declan Rice (7.45).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Manchester City have contributed 45 goals and 35 assists this season, led by Erling Haaland (24G). Arsenal's starters account for 24 goals and 22 assists, spearheaded by Eberechi Eze (7G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Manchester City deploy 4 defenders rated 7.12 on average, against Arsenal's 4-man backline averaging 7.08. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Manchester City field 5 midfielders averaging 7.14, versus Arsenal's 3 rated 7.19. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Manchester City start 1 forward(s) averaging 7.33, compared to 3 for Arsenal averaging 6.77. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 85% for Manchester City and 83% for Arsenal. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Manchester City's starters have collected 33 yellow cards this season, compared to 19 for Arsenal. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Manchester City's starting XI is 24.9 (youngest: Nico O'Reilly (20), oldest: Bernardo Silva (31)), while Arsenal average 25.5 (youngest: Cristhian Mosquera (21), oldest: David Raya (30)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Manchester City's starters average 25 league appearances each, versus 25 for Arsenal. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Pep Guardiola
Substitutes
Coach: Mikel Arteta
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Manchester City have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats. Arsenal show 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Manchester City
Arsenal
Manchester City vs Arsenal Head to Head Results
Manchester City and Arsenal have met 2 times — Manchester City won 1, Arsenal won 0, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Manchester City leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 4 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (3 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–2 in 2026.
1
Manchester City
1
Drawn
0
Arsenal
Recent Meetings (2)
API data: 20 Apr 2026