Premier League · Season 2016
Match Events
assist: M. Niang
assist: J. Holebas
Penalty
Match Statistics
Lineups
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Watford is —, compared to 6.35 for Burnley. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Watford's highest-rated starter is —, while Burnley's best-rated player is A. Barnes (6.35).
Defensive Solidity
Watford deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Burnley's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Watford field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Burnley's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Watford start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Burnley averaging 6.35. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Discipline
Watford's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 1 for Burnley. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Watford's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Burnley average 36.0 (youngest: A. Barnes (36), oldest: A. Barnes (36)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Watford's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 6 for Burnley. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: W. Mazzarri
Substitutes
Coach: S. Dyche
Match Summary
Watford defeated Burnley 2:1. The match was played in Premier League 2016. Goals were scored by T. Deeney 10′, M. Niang 45′, A. Barnes 78′ (pen.). 5 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Watford had 60% possession while Burnley held 40%. Watford had 16 shots (7 on target) compared to 11 (7 on target) for Burnley. Watford made 3 substitutions, Burnley made 3.
Watford vs Burnley Head to Head Results
19 stretnutíRecent Meetings
Recent Form
Watford
Burnley
Match Prediction
Watford
10%
Home win
45%
Draw
Burnley
45%
Away win
Model advice
Double chance : draw or Burnley
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Burnley dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate Burnley.
Market Summary
Margin: 2.9%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.12 | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| Max | 2.15 | 3.30 | 4.10 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 46.2% | 29.9% | 23.9% |
| Public market | 45.4% | 29.6% | 25.0% |
| Δ | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% |
Watford vs Burnley — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2221/22 | Watford | 1–2 | Burnley | 2.64/3.30/2.74 |
| 05/02/2221/22 | Burnley | 0–0 | Watford | 2.20/3.24/3.53 |
| 25/06/2019/20 | Burnley | 1–0 | Watford | 3.03/3.23/2.47 |
| 23/11/1919/20 | Watford | 0–3 | Burnley | 2.35/3.35/3.14 |
| 19/01/1918/19 | Watford | 0–0 | Burnley | 1.64/4.02/5.76 |
| 19/08/1818/19 | Burnley | 1–3 | Watford | 2.43/3.06/3.34 |
| 07/04/1817/18 | Watford | 1–2 | Burnley | 2.36/3.12/3.39 |
| 09/12/1717/18 | Burnley | 1–0 | Watford | 2.57/3.24/2.97 |
| 26/09/1616/17 | Burnley | 2–0 | Watford | 2.91/3.22/2.66 |
| 04/02/1716/17 | Watford | 2–1 | Burnley | 2.14/3.26/3.93 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Watford
Away Record: Burnley
Data: football-data.co.uk
API data: 11 May 2026