Premier League · Season 2018
Match Events
assist: T. Deeney
assist: J. Guðmundsson
assist: A. Doucouré
Match Statistics
Lineups
Defensive Solidity
Burnley deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Watford's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Burnley field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Watford's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Burnley start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Watford averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: S. Dyche
Substitutes
Coach: Javi Gracia
Match Summary
Watford defeated Burnley 3:1. The match was played in Premier League 2018. Goals were scored by A. Gray 3′, J. Tarkowski 6′, T. Deeney 48′, W. Hughes 51′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Burnley had 58% possession while Watford held 42%. Burnley had 8 shots (3 on target) compared to 9 (6 on target) for Watford. Burnley made 3 substitutions, Watford made 3.
Burnley vs Watford Head to Head Results
19 stretnutíRecent Meetings
Recent Form
Burnley
Watford
Match Prediction
Burnley
35%
Home win
35%
Draw
Watford
30%
Away win
Model advice
Combo Double chance : Burnley or draw and -3.5 goals
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Burnley dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (39%) — the odds may underestimate Burnley.
Market Summary
Margin: 3.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.38 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Max | 2.47 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 39.4% | 31.6% | 28.9% |
| Public market | 39.8% | 31.5% | 28.7% |
Burnley vs Watford — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2221/22 | Watford | 1–2 | Burnley | 2.64/3.30/2.74 |
| 05/02/2221/22 | Burnley | 0–0 | Watford | 2.20/3.24/3.53 |
| 25/06/2019/20 | Burnley | 1–0 | Watford | 3.03/3.23/2.47 |
| 23/11/1919/20 | Watford | 0–3 | Burnley | 2.35/3.35/3.14 |
| 19/01/1918/19 | Watford | 0–0 | Burnley | 1.64/4.02/5.76 |
| 19/08/1818/19 | Burnley | 1–3 | Watford | 2.43/3.06/3.34 |
| 07/04/1817/18 | Watford | 1–2 | Burnley | 2.36/3.12/3.39 |
| 09/12/1717/18 | Burnley | 1–0 | Watford | 2.57/3.24/2.97 |
| 26/09/1616/17 | Burnley | 2–0 | Watford | 2.91/3.22/2.66 |
| 04/02/1716/17 | Watford | 2–1 | Burnley | 2.14/3.26/3.93 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Burnley
Away Record: Watford
Data: football-data.co.uk
API data: 11 May 2026