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Watford vs Burnley

Vicarage Road, Watford7 April 2018 at 15:00
12
Referee: Paul Tierney

Match Events

Watford
Burnley
Kick Off
33′Georges-Kévin N'Koudou
Half Time
Abdoulaye Doucouré56′
R. Pereyra
61′
70′
G. NKoudouS. Vokes
70′
S. Vokes
73′
J. Cork

assist: K. Long

D. JanmaatS. Okaka
76′
81′
A. LennonJ. Hendrick
W. HughesRicharlison
85′
A. DoucouréA. Carrillo
85′
Stefano Okaka90′
90′Matthew Lowton
Full Time

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal2
14Total Shots7
5Blocked Shots1
8Shots insidebox6
6Shots outsidebox1
18Fouls12
11Corner Kicks1
3Offsides2
60%Ball Possession40%
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
435Total passes292
319Passes accurate179
73%Passes %61%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Watford is —, compared to 6.35 for Burnley. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Watford's highest-rated starter is —, while Burnley's best-rated player is A. Barnes (6.35).

Defensive Solidity

Watford deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Burnley's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Watford field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Burnley's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Watford start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Burnley averaging 6.35. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Discipline

Watford's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 1 for Burnley. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Watford's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Burnley average 36.0 (youngest: A. Barnes (36), oldest: A. Barnes (36)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Watford's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 6 for Burnley. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Watford4-2-3-14-4-2Burnley
GKDEFMIDFWD
30Karnezis6Mariappa5Prödl25Holebas21Femenía2Janmaat29Capoue37Pereyra16Doucouré19Hughes9Deeney29Pope23Ward28Long2Lowton5Tarkows.25Lennon4Cork18Westwood7N'Koudou10Barnes11Wood

Substitutes

Coach: Javi Gracia

Substitutes

Coach: S. Dyche

WatfordPosition StrengthBurnley
Avg Rating
6.35
Forward (1 v 2)6.35
0G 0A0G 0A
Watford4-2-3-1
30GoalkeeperO. Karnezis
6DefenderA. Mariappa
5DefenderS. Prödl
25DefenderJ. Holebas
2DefenderD. Janmaat
21MidfielderKiko Femenía
29MidfielderE. Capoue
37MidfielderR. Pereyra
16MidfielderA. Doucouré
19MidfielderW. Hughes
9ForwardT. Deeney
Burnley4-4-2
29GoalkeeperN. Pope
23DefenderS. Ward
28DefenderK. Long
2DefenderM. Lowton
5DefenderJ. Tarkowski
25MidfielderA. Lennon
4MidfielderJ. Cork
18MidfielderA. Westwood
7MidfielderG. N'Koudou
10ForwardA. Barnes6.3
11ForwardC. Wood

Match Summary

Burnley defeated Watford 2:1. The match was played in Premier League 2017. Goals were scored by R. Pereyra 61′, S. Vokes 70′, J. Cork 73′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Watford had 60% possession while Burnley held 40%. Watford had 14 shots (5 on target) compared to 7 (4 on target) for Burnley. Watford made 3 substitutions, Burnley made 2.

Rivalry since 2011

Watford vs Burnley Head to Head Results

19 stretnutí
Watford
4
wins
Drawn
8
Burnley
7
wins
Total goals
45 · 2.4/match
Both scored
11/19 · 58%
Over 2.5
9/19 · 47%

Recent Form

Watford

LLLLLD

Burnley

DLLLLL

Match Prediction

Watford

0%

Home win

 

50%

Draw

Burnley

50%

Away win

Model advice

Double chance : draw or Burnley

41%Form59%
33%Attack67%
29%Defence71%
38%Head-to-head62%

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Burnley dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Watford2wins
2draws10 meetings
Burnley6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (41%) — the odds may underestimate Burnley.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 42.3%Draw 32.1%Away 29.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.323.053.30
Max2.393.203.49
Market favourite:Watford · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market41.2%31.4%27.4%
Public market40.8%30.5%28.8%
Δ0.4%0.9%1.3%

Watford vs Burnley — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Burnley
Result vs. Market: Watford (42%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

WatfordHalf-time:00Burnley
14Shots7
5Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
30/04/22Watford1–2Burnley2.64/3.30/2.74
05/02/22Burnley0–0Watford2.20/3.24/3.53
25/06/20Burnley1–0Watford3.03/3.23/2.47
23/11/19Watford0–3Burnley2.35/3.35/3.14
19/01/19Watford0–0Burnley1.64/4.02/5.76
19/08/18Burnley1–3Watford2.43/3.06/3.34
07/04/18Watford1–2Burnley2.36/3.12/3.39
09/12/17Burnley1–0Watford2.57/3.24/2.97
26/09/16Burnley2–0Watford2.91/3.22/2.66
04/02/17Watford2–1Burnley2.14/3.26/3.93

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Watford

W 73D 66L 165
Over 2.553
Goals scored310

Away Record: Burnley

W 92D 93L 192
Over 2.548
Goals scored376

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026