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St Mirren vs Kilmarnock

St. Mirren Park, Paisley11 March 2019 at 19:45
01
Referee: Don Robertson

Match Events

ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
Kick Off
Half Time
C. MacPhersonD. Nazon
65′
Kyle McAllister71′
79′
R. McKenzieC. McAleny
79′
J. JonesL. Millar
86′Conor McAleny
87′
L. Millar

assist: E. Brophy

89′
E. BrophyA. Tshibola
Full Time

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal7
8Total Shots11
0Blocked Shots0
0Shots insidebox0
0Shots outsidebox0
14Fouls9
7Corner Kicks4
2Offsides0
41%Ball Possession59%
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves5
0Total passes0
0Passes accurate0
0Passes %0

Match Summary

Kilmarnock defeated ST Mirren 1:0. The match was played in Premiership 2018. Goals were scored by L. Millar 87′. 2 yellow cards were shown. ST Mirren had 41% possession while Kilmarnock held 59%. ST Mirren had 8 shots (5 on target) compared to 11 (4 on target) for Kilmarnock. ST Mirren made 1 substitutions, Kilmarnock made 3.

Rivalry since 2010

ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock Head to Head Results

40 stretnutí
ST Mirren
9
wins
Drawn
10
Kilmarnock
21
wins
Total goals
106 · 2.6/match
Both scored
21/40 · 53%
Over 2.5
17/40 · 43%

Recent Meetings

Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2026

Recent Form

ST Mirren

LLLLWW

Kilmarnock

WLDLWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Kilmarnock dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

ST Mirren1wins
3draws10 meetings
Kilmarnock6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 5.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 23.3%Draw 27.5%Away 54.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.203.501.80
Max4.363.751.91
Market favourite:Kilmarnock · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market22.3%26.7%51.0%
Public market22.5%25.1%52.4%
Δ0.1%1.5%1.4%

ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Kilmarnock
Result vs. Market: Kilmarnock (54%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ST MirrenHalf-time:00Kilmarnock
11Shots16
5Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
11/02/26Kilmarnock4–3St Mirren2.75/3.30/2.45
27/12/25St Mirren0–0Kilmarnock1.76/3.50/4.50
04/10/25Kilmarnock2–0St Mirren2.80/3.21/2.54
29/03/25St Mirren5–1Kilmarnock2.33/3.27/3.18
02/01/25Kilmarnock2–0St Mirren2.16/3.33/3.36
14/09/24St Mirren2–2Kilmarnock2.25/3.33/3.23
11/05/24St Mirren0–1Kilmarnock2.69/3.08/2.80
16/03/24Kilmarnock5–2St Mirren2.14/3.18/3.72
27/12/23St Mirren0–1Kilmarnock2.69/3.06/2.81
30/09/23Kilmarnock1–1St Mirren2.37/3.27/3.09

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: ST Mirren

W 169D 180L 324
Over 2.544
Goals scored643

Away Record: Kilmarnock

W 373D 289L 493
Over 2.549
Goals scored1352

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026