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Kilmarnock vs St Mirren

BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock12 May 2021 at 19:45
33
Referee: D. Munro

Match Events

Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Kick Off
K. Lafferty

assist: C. Burke

8′
Kyle Lafferty34′
38′Daniel Finlayson
Half Time
46′
Í. DurmuşD. Connolly
Alan Power61′
K. Lafferty

assist: C. Waters

61′
63′
J. McGrath
66′
J. ObikaC. Quaner
66′
L. ErwinK. Dennis
66′
J. Doyle-HayesC. MacPherson
78′
C. MacPherson

assist: J. Henderson

G. Kiltie
81′
82′
D. FinlaysonK. McAllister
83′
C. Quaner

assist: D. Connolly

C. WatersB. Haunstrup
84′
G. KiltieD. Whitehall
90+4′
Full Time

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal6
19Total Shots11
2Blocked Shots2
16Shots insidebox5
3Shots outsidebox6
7Fouls14
8Corner Kicks5
1Offsides0
40%Ball Possession60%
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves5
321Total passes474
221Passes accurate372
69%Passes %78%

Match Summary

Kilmarnock and ST Mirren drew 3:3. The match was played in Premiership 2020. Goals were scored by K. Lafferty 8′, K. Lafferty 61′, J. McGrath 63′, C. MacPherson 78′, G. Kiltie 81′, C. Quaner 83′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Kilmarnock had 40% possession while ST Mirren held 60%. Kilmarnock had 19 shots (8 on target) compared to 11 (3 on target) for ST Mirren. Kilmarnock made 2 substitutions, ST Mirren made 5.

Rivalry since 2010

Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren Head to Head Results

40 stretnutí
Kilmarnock
22
wins
Drawn
9
ST Mirren
9
wins
Total goals
101 · 2.5/match
Both scored
20/40 · 50%
Over 2.5
16/40 · 40%

Recent Meetings

Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2026

Recent Form

Kilmarnock

WLDLWW

ST Mirren

LLLLWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Kilmarnock dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Kilmarnock6wins
3draws10 meetings
ST Mirren1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Kilmarnock.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 50.3%Draw 29.6%Away 25.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.953.253.75
Max2.013.504.23
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 60.2%
Market favourite:Kilmarnock · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market48.3%28.7%23.0%
Public market48.1%26.8%25.0%
Δ0.2%1.9%2.1%

Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Kilmarnock (50%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

KilmarnockHalf-time:10ST Mirren
19Shots12
8Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
11/02/26Kilmarnock4–3St Mirren2.75/3.30/2.45
27/12/25St Mirren0–0Kilmarnock1.76/3.50/4.50
04/10/25Kilmarnock2–0St Mirren2.80/3.21/2.54
29/03/25St Mirren5–1Kilmarnock2.33/3.27/3.18
02/01/25Kilmarnock2–0St Mirren2.16/3.33/3.36
14/09/24St Mirren2–2Kilmarnock2.25/3.33/3.23
11/05/24St Mirren0–1Kilmarnock2.69/3.08/2.80
16/03/24Kilmarnock5–2St Mirren2.14/3.18/3.72
27/12/23St Mirren0–1Kilmarnock2.69/3.06/2.81
30/09/23Kilmarnock1–1St Mirren2.37/3.27/3.09

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Kilmarnock

W 373D 289L 493
Over 2.549
Goals scored1352

Away Record: ST Mirren

W 169D 180L 324
Over 2.544
Goals scored643

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026