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Kilmarnock vs St Mirren

The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock2 January 2025 at 15:00
20
Referee: C. Steven

Match Events

Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Kick Off
Bruce Anderson

Missed Penalty

8′
B. Anderson
8′
21′Richard Taylor
K. VassellK. Magennis
44′
Half Time
46′
O. SmythM. O'Hara
49′Alexander Gogić
54′
R. IdowuM. Mandron
B. Anderson

Penalty

65′
66′
A. GogićE. Bwomono
66′
J. AyungaO. Oseni
B. WalesI. Cameron
74′
L. PolworthL. Donnelly
74′
74′
T. OlusanyaG. Kiltie
B. AndersonD. Watson
84′
Full Time

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal1
14Total Shots8
6Blocked Shots6
9Shots insidebox4
5Shots outsidebox4
9Fouls21
4Corner Kicks2
4Offsides5
47%Ball Possession53%
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
306Total passes345
215Passes accurate230
70%Passes %67%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Match Summary

Kilmarnock defeated ST Mirren 2:0. The match was played in Premiership 2024. Goals were scored by Bruce Anderson 8′, B. Anderson 8′, B. Anderson 65′ (pen.). 2 yellow cards were shown. Kilmarnock had 47% possession while ST Mirren held 53%. Kilmarnock had 14 shots (5 on target) compared to 8 (1 on target) for ST Mirren. Kilmarnock made 4 substitutions, ST Mirren made 5.

Rivalry since 2010

Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren Head to Head Results

40 stretnutí
Kilmarnock
21
wins
Drawn
10
ST Mirren
9
wins
Total goals
105 · 2.6/match
Both scored
21/40 · 53%
Over 2.5
17/40 · 43%

Recent Meetings

Highest-scoring game: 43 v 2026

Recent Form

Kilmarnock

WLDLWW

ST Mirren

LLLLWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Kilmarnock dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Kilmarnock6wins
3draws10 meetings
ST Mirren1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Kilmarnock.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.3%Draw 30.1%Away 29.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.283.30
Max2.183.403.49
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite:Kilmarnock · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.7%29.0%27.3%
Public market43.4%28.3%28.3%
Δ0.3%0.7%1.0%

Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Kilmarnock
Result vs. Market: Kilmarnock (46%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

KilmarnockHalf-time:10ST Mirren
14Shots8
5Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
11/02/26Kilmarnock4–3St Mirren2.75/3.30/2.45
27/12/25St Mirren0–0Kilmarnock1.76/3.50/4.50
04/10/25Kilmarnock2–0St Mirren2.80/3.21/2.54
29/03/25St Mirren5–1Kilmarnock2.33/3.27/3.18
02/01/25Kilmarnock2–0St Mirren2.16/3.33/3.36
14/09/24St Mirren2–2Kilmarnock2.25/3.33/3.23
11/05/24St Mirren0–1Kilmarnock2.69/3.08/2.80
16/03/24Kilmarnock5–2St Mirren2.14/3.18/3.72
27/12/23St Mirren0–1Kilmarnock2.69/3.06/2.81
30/09/23Kilmarnock1–1St Mirren2.37/3.27/3.09

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Kilmarnock

W 373D 289L 493
Over 2.549
Goals scored1352

Away Record: ST Mirren

W 169D 180L 324
Over 2.544
Goals scored643

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026