12 March 2017 at 20:15

33
Full Time
Referee: Tiago Martins

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Guimaraes dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Guimaraes7wins
1draws10 meetings
Estoril2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (62%) — the odds may underestimate Guimaraes.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 63.2%Draw 26.5%Away 15.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.563.605.50
Max1.623.997.38
Market favourite:Guimaraes · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market62.4%24.4%13.2%
Public market59.5%24.9%15.6%
Δ2.9%0.5%2.4%

Guimaraes vs Estoril — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Guimaraes (63%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GuimaraesHalf-time:01Estoril

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
24/01/26Estoril4–2Guimaraes2.35/3.30/2.85
16/08/25Guimaraes3–2Estoril1.69/3.67/5.07
26/01/25Estoril1–0Guimaraes4.24/3.55/1.84
18/08/24Guimaraes1–0Estoril1.57/4.02/5.61
02/03/24Estoril1–3Guimaraes3.41/3.53/2.13
01/10/23Guimaraes3–2Estoril1.83/3.63/4.33
04/02/23Estoril0–1Guimaraes2.71/3.01/2.86
14/08/22Guimaraes1–0Estoril2.01/3.30/3.94
23/01/22Guimaraes3–1Estoril1.94/3.36/4.06
13/08/21Estoril0–0Guimaraes2.90/3.11/2.53

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Guimaraes

W 411D 244L 366
Over 2.546
Goals scored1307

Away Record: Estoril

W 126D 96L 173
Over 2.551
Goals scored487

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Guimaraes and Estoril drew 3:3. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2016. Goals were scored by Kléber 3′, Rafael Miranda 52′, Matheus Índio 53′, M. Marega 64′, Rafael Martins 71′, Mattheus 90′. 10 yellow cards were shown, 3 red cards. Guimaraes had 61% possession while Estoril held 39%. Guimaraes had 17 shots (6 on target) compared to 6 (4 on target) for Estoril. Guimaraes made 3 substitutions, Estoril made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Guimaraes and Estoril — 6 goals and 13 cards recorded during the match.

Guimaraes
Estoril
Kick Off
3′
Kléber

assist: Carlinhos

5′Mattheus
34′
Gonçalo BrandãoDankler
Rafael Miranda42′
44′Joel
Half Time
Rafael Miranda

assist: P. Hurtado

52′
53′
Matheus Índio

assist: Mattheus

SturgeonTozé
58′
G. CelisRafael Martins
58′
M. Marega

assist: João Aurélio

64′
67′Matheus Indio
68′
Matheus ÍndioAllano
HernâniB. Zungu
76′
77′
LicáGustavo Tocantins
Rafael Miranda79′
Rafael Miranda79′
Tozé80′
85′Mano
90′Joel
90′Joel
90+5′
Mattheus

assist: Allano

Full Time

Match Statistics

Guimaraes had 61% possession against Estoril's 39%. Guimaraes registered 17 shots (6 on target) while Estoril managed 6 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 6–1. Fouls committed: 13–25.

6Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal1
17Total Shots6
5Blocked Shots1
10Shots insidebox4
7Shots outsidebox2
13Fouls25
6Corner Kicks1
3Offsides2
61%Ball Possession39%
4Yellow Cards6
2Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
416Total passes260
328Passes accurate182
79%Passes %70%

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Guimaraes have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. Estoril show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Guimaraes

WDWLLL

Estoril

LLLLWD

Guimaraes vs Estoril Head to Head Results

Guimaraes and Estoril have met 21 times — Guimaraes won 12, Estoril won 6, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Guimaraes leads the head-to-head with 12 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 55 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.62 per match (31 for the home side, 24 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (43%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (43%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2026.

12

Guimaraes

3

Drawn

6

Estoril

Goals: 31Goals: 24

Recent Meetings (21)

24 Jan 2026Estoril4 – 2Guimaraes
16 Aug 2025Guimaraes3 – 2Estoril
26 Jan 2025Estoril1 – 0Guimaraes
18 Aug 2024Guimaraes1 – 0Estoril
2 Mar 2024Estoril1 – 3Guimaraes
1 Oct 2023Guimaraes3 – 2Estoril
4 Feb 2023Estoril0 – 1Guimaraes
14 Aug 2022Guimaraes1 – 0Estoril
23 Jan 2022Guimaraes3 – 1Estoril
13 Aug 2021Estoril0 – 0Guimaraes
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026