1 October 2023 at 17:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Guimaraes dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.8
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (53%) — the odds may underestimate Guimaraes.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| Max | 1.85 | 3.79 | 4.45 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 52.5% | 25.6% | 21.8% |
| Public market | 51.4% | 26.9% | 21.7% |
| Δ | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Guimaraes vs Estoril — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/2625/26 | Estoril | 4–2 | Guimaraes | 2.35/3.30/2.85 |
| 16/08/2525/26 | Guimaraes | 3–2 | Estoril | 1.69/3.67/5.07 |
| 26/01/2524/25 | Estoril | 1–0 | Guimaraes | 4.24/3.55/1.84 |
| 18/08/2424/25 | Guimaraes | 1–0 | Estoril | 1.57/4.02/5.61 |
| 02/03/2423/24 | Estoril | 1–3 | Guimaraes | 3.41/3.53/2.13 |
| 01/10/2323/24 | Guimaraes | 3–2 | Estoril | 1.83/3.63/4.33 |
| 04/02/2322/23 | Estoril | 0–1 | Guimaraes | 2.71/3.01/2.86 |
| 14/08/2222/23 | Guimaraes | 1–0 | Estoril | 2.01/3.30/3.94 |
| 23/01/2221/22 | Guimaraes | 3–1 | Estoril | 1.94/3.36/4.06 |
| 13/08/2121/22 | Estoril | 0–0 | Guimaraes | 2.90/3.11/2.53 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Guimaraes
Away Record: Estoril
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Guimaraes defeated Estoril 3:2. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2023. Goals were scored by Tiago Araújo 12′, Rodrigo Gomes 20′, André Silva 56′, João Mendes 69′, Alisson Safira 90′ (pen.). 8 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Guimaraes had 68% possession while Estoril held 32%. Guimaraes had 28 shots (8 on target) compared to 9 (4 on target) for Estoril. Expected goals: Guimaraes 2.93 — Estoril 0.89. Guimaraes made 5 substitutions, Estoril made 5. VAR was involved: Penalty confirmed (Allison Safira 90′).
Match Events
Key match events between Guimaraes and Estoril — 5 goals and 9 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Rodrigo Gomes
assist: Cassiano
assist: Tiago Silva
assist: Bruno Gaspar
Penalty
Match Statistics
Guimaraes had 68% possession against Estoril's 32%. Guimaraes registered 28 shots (8 on target) while Estoril managed 9 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 11–2. Fouls committed: 16–13.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Guimaraes have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. Estoril show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Guimaraes
Estoril
Guimaraes vs Estoril Head to Head Results
Guimaraes and Estoril have met 21 times — Guimaraes won 11, Estoril won 6, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Guimaraes leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 56 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.67 per match (31 for the home side, 25 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (43%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (43%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2026.
11
Guimaraes
4
Drawn
6
Estoril
Recent Meetings (21)
API data: 15 Mar 2026