4 February 2023 at 20:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Guimaraes dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.8
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Market Summary
Margin: 5.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.62 | 2.88 | 2.80 |
| Max | 2.77 | 3.14 | 2.90 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 35.1% | 31.0% | 33.9% |
| Public market | 34.4% | 32.9% | 32.7% |
| Δ | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
Estoril vs Guimaraes — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/2625/26 | Estoril | 4–2 | Guimaraes | 2.35/3.30/2.85 |
| 16/08/2525/26 | Guimaraes | 3–2 | Estoril | 1.69/3.67/5.07 |
| 26/01/2524/25 | Estoril | 1–0 | Guimaraes | 4.24/3.55/1.84 |
| 18/08/2424/25 | Guimaraes | 1–0 | Estoril | 1.57/4.02/5.61 |
| 02/03/2423/24 | Estoril | 1–3 | Guimaraes | 3.41/3.53/2.13 |
| 01/10/2323/24 | Guimaraes | 3–2 | Estoril | 1.83/3.63/4.33 |
| 04/02/2322/23 | Estoril | 0–1 | Guimaraes | 2.71/3.01/2.86 |
| 14/08/2222/23 | Guimaraes | 1–0 | Estoril | 2.01/3.30/3.94 |
| 23/01/2221/22 | Guimaraes | 3–1 | Estoril | 1.94/3.36/4.06 |
| 13/08/2121/22 | Estoril | 0–0 | Guimaraes | 2.90/3.11/2.53 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Estoril
Away Record: Guimaraes
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Guimaraes defeated Estoril 1:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2022. Goals were scored by Alisson Safira 11′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Estoril had 54% possession while Guimaraes held 46%. Estoril had 15 shots (4 on target) compared to 12 (3 on target) for Guimaraes. Estoril made 5 substitutions, Guimaraes made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Estoril and Guimaraes — 1 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Afonso de Freitas
Match Statistics
Estoril had 54% possession against Guimaraes's 46%. Estoril registered 15 shots (4 on target) while Guimaraes managed 12 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 4–5. Fouls committed: 15–23.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Estoril have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats. Guimaraes show 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Estoril
Guimaraes
Estoril vs Guimaraes Head to Head Results
Estoril and Guimaraes have met 21 times — Estoril won 6, Guimaraes won 11, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Guimaraes leads the head-to-head with 11 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 60 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.86 per match (27 for the home side, 33 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (48%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (48%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2026.
6
Estoril
4
Drawn
11
Guimaraes
Recent Meetings (21)
API data: 15 Mar 2026