15 July 2020 at 16:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.3
Average goals per game
30%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Pacos Ferreira.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.37 | 3.08 | 2.80 |
| Max | 2.71 | 3.20 | 2.88 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 35.5% | 31.2% | 33.4% |
| Public market | 38.7% | 28.6% | 32.7% |
| Δ | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
Moreirense vs Pacos Ferreira — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2221/22 | Pacos Ferreira | 2–1 | Moreirense | 2.27/3.23/3.28 |
| 01/11/2121/22 | Moreirense | 1–1 | Pacos Ferreira | 2.42/3.25/3.01 |
| 20/03/2120/21 | Pacos Ferreira | 3–0 | Moreirense | 1.89/3.39/4.45 |
| 01/12/2020/21 | Moreirense | 0–1 | Pacos Ferreira | 3.74/3.27/2.10 |
| 15/07/2019/20 | Moreirense | 1–1 | Pacos Ferreira | 2.57/3.13/2.83 |
| 05/01/2019/20 | Pacos Ferreira | 1–0 | Moreirense | 2.15/3.17/3.66 |
| 30/09/1717/18 | Pacos Ferreira | 3–2 | Moreirense | 2.06/3.13/3.96 |
| 04/03/1817/18 | Moreirense | 2–0 | Pacos Ferreira | 2.25/3.15/3.36 |
| 13/08/1616/17 | Moreirense | 1–1 | Pacos Ferreira | 2.58/3.06/2.91 |
| 20/01/1716/17 | Pacos Ferreira | 0–2 | Moreirense | 2.50/2.99/3.12 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Moreirense
Away Record: Pacos Ferreira
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Moreirense and Pacos Ferreira drew 1:1. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2019. Goals were scored by S. Vitória 36′ (pen.), Marco Baixinho 75′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Moreirense had 38% possession while Pacos Ferreira held 62%. Moreirense had 12 shots (4 on target) compared to 6 (2 on target) for Pacos Ferreira. Moreirense made 5 substitutions, Pacos Ferreira made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Moreirense and Pacos Ferreira — 2 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
assist: João Amaral
Match Statistics
Moreirense had 38% possession against Pacos Ferreira's 62%. Moreirense registered 12 shots (4 on target) while Pacos Ferreira managed 6 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 4–4. Fouls committed: 16–12.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Moreirense have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Pacos Ferreira show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Moreirense
Pacos Ferreira
API data: 15 Mar 2026