19 February 2022 at 20:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.3
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
80%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Arouca.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.70 | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| Max | 1.75 | 3.80 | 5.38 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 56.1% | 25.9% | 18.0% |
| Public market | 54.8% | 24.5% | 20.7% |
| Δ | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% |
Guimaraes vs Arouca — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2625/26 | Arouca | 3–2 | Guimaraes | 2.75/3.30/2.40 |
| 30/08/2525/26 | Guimaraes | 1–1 | Arouca | 1.79/3.59/4.42 |
| 18/01/2524/25 | Guimaraes | 2–2 | Arouca | 1.57/3.93/5.92 |
| 12/08/2424/25 | Arouca | 0–1 | Guimaraes | 2.85/3.40/2.40 |
| 18/05/2423/24 | Arouca | 1–3 | Guimaraes | 2.80/3.47/2.40 |
| 15/01/2423/24 | Guimaraes | 2–1 | Arouca | 1.88/3.50/4.08 |
| 11/03/2322/23 | Guimaraes | 0–2 | Arouca | 2.07/3.24/3.84 |
| 18/09/2222/23 | Arouca | 2–2 | Guimaraes | 3.03/3.21/2.41 |
| 19/02/2221/22 | Guimaraes | 1–3 | Arouca | 1.73/3.68/4.88 |
| 18/09/2121/22 | Arouca | 2–2 | Guimaraes | 3.89/3.47/1.94 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Guimaraes
Away Record: Arouca
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Arouca defeated Guimaraes 3:1. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2021. Goals were scored by João Basso 13′, Ó. Estupiñán 26′, Antony 35′, A. Bukia 41′. 8 yellow cards were shown. Guimaraes had 48% possession while Arouca held 52%. Guimaraes had 11 shots (5 on target) compared to 14 (7 on target) for Arouca. Guimaraes made 5 substitutions, Arouca made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Guimaraes and Arouca — 4 goals and 8 cards recorded during the match.
assist: David Simão
assist: João Ferreira
assist: A. Bukia
assist: André Silva
Match Statistics
Guimaraes had 48% possession against Arouca's 52%. Guimaraes registered 11 shots (5 on target) while Arouca managed 14 (7 on target). Corner kicks: 4–9. Fouls committed: 19–15.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Guimaraes have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. Arouca show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Guimaraes
Arouca
Guimaraes vs Arouca Head to Head Results
Guimaraes and Arouca have met 17 times — Guimaraes won 8, Arouca won 3, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Guimaraes leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 50 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.94 per match (28 for the home side, 22 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (65%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (59%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Arouca are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2026.
8
Guimaraes
6
Drawn
3
Arouca
Recent Meetings (17)
API data: 15 Mar 2026