29 April 2025 at 19:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.5
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
38%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate Estoril.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.03 | 3.20 | 3.59 |
| Max | 2.05 | 3.27 | 3.90 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 45.7% | 28.4% | 25.9% |
| Public market | 46.2% | 29.6% | 24.3% |
| Δ | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% |
Casa Pia vs Estoril — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2625/26 | Estoril | 0–0 | Casa Pia | 1.66/3.80/4.50 |
| 03/10/2525/26 | Casa Pia | 2–2 | Estoril | 2.52/3.35/2.76 |
| 29/04/2524/25 | Casa Pia | 1–3 | Estoril | 2.04/3.24/3.75 |
| 15/12/2424/25 | Estoril | 0–2 | Casa Pia | 2.63/3.13/2.77 |
| 08/04/2423/24 | Casa Pia | 0–0 | Estoril | 2.65/2.99/2.96 |
| 10/11/2323/24 | Estoril | 4–0 | Casa Pia | 2.48/3.24/2.85 |
| 21/05/2322/23 | Casa Pia | 2–2 | Estoril | 2.07/3.31/3.58 |
| 16/01/2322/23 | Estoril | 2–0 | Casa Pia | 2.88/3.09/2.54 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Casa Pia
Away Record: Estoril
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Estoril defeated Casa Pia 3:1. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2024. Goals were scored by Y. Begraoui 21′, Cassiano 43′ (pen.), A. Marqués 82′, João Carvalho 87′. 3 yellow cards were shown, 2 red cards. Casa Pia had 41% possession while Estoril held 59%. Casa Pia had 8 shots (4 on target) compared to 11 (4 on target) for Estoril. Expected goals: Casa Pia 1.88 — Estoril 1.62. Casa Pia made 5 substitutions, Estoril made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Casa Pia and Estoril — 4 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
assist: João Carvalho
Penalty
assist: R. Guitane
Match Statistics
Casa Pia had 41% possession against Estoril's 59%. Casa Pia registered 8 shots (4 on target) while Estoril managed 11 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 4–4. Fouls committed: 12–14.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Casa Pia have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. Estoril show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Casa Pia
Estoril
Casa Pia vs Estoril Head to Head Results
Casa Pia and Estoril have met 2 times — Casa Pia won 0, Estoril won 0, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. A combined 4 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (2 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2025.
0
Casa Pia
2
Drawn
0
Estoril
Recent Meetings (2)
API data: 15 Mar 2026