4 May 2025 at 17:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Casa Pia dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
1.9
Average goals per game
25%
Games with 3+ goals
25%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate Casa Pia.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.0%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Max | 2.08 | 3.33 | 3.69 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 45.7% | 28.5% | 25.8% |
| Public market | 45.6% | 28.4% | 26.0% |
Arouca vs Casa Pia — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2625/26 | Casa Pia | 3–2 | Arouca | 2.65/3.20/2.55 |
| 14/09/2525/26 | Arouca | 0–2 | Casa Pia | 1.95/3.33/3.99 |
| 04/05/2524/25 | Arouca | 0–0 | Casa Pia | 2.06/3.31/3.65 |
| 20/12/2424/25 | Casa Pia | 3–1 | Arouca | 2.37/2.98/3.40 |
| 18/02/2423/24 | Casa Pia | 1–0 | Arouca | 3.26/3.15/2.30 |
| 17/09/2323/24 | Arouca | 0–1 | Casa Pia | 2.32/3.20/3.06 |
| 25/02/2322/23 | Arouca | 2–0 | Casa Pia | 2.30/3.12/3.29 |
| 04/09/2222/23 | Casa Pia | 0–0 | Arouca | 2.08/3.08/3.93 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Arouca
Away Record: Casa Pia
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Arouca and Casa Pia drew 0:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2024. 8 yellow cards were shown, 3 red cards. Arouca had 64% possession while Casa Pia held 36%. Arouca had 15 shots (3 on target) compared to 4 (1 on target) for Casa Pia. Expected goals: Arouca 1.07 — Casa Pia 0.30. Arouca made 4 substitutions, Casa Pia made 4. VAR was involved: Card upgrade (José Fonte 41′).
Match Events
Key match events between Arouca and Casa Pia — 0 goals and 11 cards recorded during the match.
Match Statistics
Arouca had 64% possession against Casa Pia's 36%. Arouca registered 15 shots (3 on target) while Casa Pia managed 4 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 5–0. Fouls committed: 14–14.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Arouca have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Casa Pia show 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Arouca
Casa Pia
Arouca vs Casa Pia Head to Head Results
Arouca and Casa Pia have met 2 times — Arouca won 0, Casa Pia won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Casa Pia leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 7 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.50 per match (2 for the home side, 5 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2026.
0
Arouca
0
Drawn
2
Casa Pia
Recent Meetings (2)
API data: 15 Mar 2026