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Primeira LigaSeason 2025

SC Braga vs Estrela

16 May 2026 at 18:00Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
22
Referee: G. Correia

Match Summary

SC Braga and Estrela drew 2:2. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2025. Goals were scored by S. Leković 5′, Gabri Martínez 15′, Pau Victor 90′ (pen.), S. Leković 90′. 6 yellow cards were shown, 1 red card. SC Braga had 74% possession while Estrela held 26%. SC Braga had 14 shots (4 on target) compared to 6 (4 on target) for Estrela. Expected goals: SC Braga 2.41 — Estrela 0.73. SC Braga made 5 substitutions, Estrela made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between SC Braga and Estrela — 4 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
Gabri MartínezLeonardo Lelo
46′
55′Renan Ribeiro
Ricardo HortaJean-Baptiste Gorby
68′
68′
G. DoueL. Antonetti
68′
I. StoicaJovane Cabral
68′
78′
P. MoreiraK. Höög Jansson
L. HorníčekJoão Carvalho
80′
LuisinhoA. Gil
80′
85′
87′Abraham Marcus
90+1′
A. MarcusJ. Meireles
Pau Victor

Penalty

90′
90′
S. Leković

assist: Jovane Cabral

Full Time

Match Statistics

SC Braga had 74% possession against Estrela's 26%. SC Braga registered 14 shots (4 on target) while Estrela managed 6 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 7–1. Fouls committed: 13–9.

Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots Off Goal
6
2
Total Shots
14
6
Blocked Shots
4
0
Shots inside the Box
7
4
Shots outside the Box
7
2
Fouls
13
9
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
1
1
Ball Possession
74%
26%
Yellow Cards
1
5
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
2
Total Passes
692
246
Accurate Passes
628
183
Pass Accuracy
91%
74%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
0.73
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.05
-0.05

Rivalry since 2021

SC Braga vs Estrela Head to Head Results· 6

SC Braga and Estrela have met 6 times — SC Braga won 3, Estrela won 0, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. SC Braga leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 6 meetings. A combined 18 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (12 for the home side, 6 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. SC Braga are currently unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2026.

Drawn
3
·
0
wins
Total goals
18 · 3.0/match
Both scored
3/6 · 50%
Over 2.5
3/6 · 50%

Recent Meetings

03/01/26Primeira Liga
Match Details
19/01/25Primeira Liga
Match Details
11/08/24Primeira Liga
Match Details
02/03/24Primeira Liga
Match Details
28/09/23Primeira Liga
Match Details
13/07/21Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2026

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, SC Braga have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Estrela show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

SC Braga

DDLDWL

Estrela

DDLLLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.7

Average goals per game

67%

Games with 3+ goals

67%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
6 meetings
0
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (59%) — the odds may underestimate Estrela.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

16 May 202625/261.57/4.00/5.00
Match Details
3 Jan 202625/266.55/4.30/1.47
Match Details
19 Jan 202524/254.81/3.83/1.69
Match Details
11 Aug 202424/251.37/4.96/7.47
Match Details
2 Mar 202423/241.35/5.17/8.44
Match Details
28 Sept 202323/244.52/3.85/1.68
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 8.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 63.7%Draw 25.0%Away 20.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.574.005.00
Max1.574.005.00
Over 2.5: 57.1%Under 2.5: 48.8%
Market favourite:SC Braga · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: SC Braga (64%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SC BragaHalf-time:11Estrela
14Shots6
4Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: SC Braga

W 500D 261L 295
Over 2.548
Goals scored1578

Away Record: Estrela

W 20D 32L 50
Over 2.544
Goals scored95

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 Jun 2026