15 May 2021 at 16:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.5
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Lugo.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.3%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.95 | 3.00 | 3.30 |
| Max | 2.30 | 3.38 | 4.20 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 48.2% | 28.4% | 23.4% |
| Public market | 47.8% | 30.0% | 22.2% |
| Δ | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
Lugo vs Mirandes — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2322/23 | Mirandes | 2–0 | Lugo | 2.04/3.04/4.38 |
| 30/10/2222/23 | Lugo | 0–0 | Mirandes | 2.38/3.28/3.09 |
| 09/01/2221/22 | Lugo | 2–1 | Mirandes | 2.32/3.17/3.22 |
| 03/11/2121/22 | Mirandes | 3–2 | Lugo | 2.11/3.06/3.80 |
| 15/05/2120/21 | Lugo | 2–1 | Mirandes | 2.08/3.16/3.86 |
| 05/12/2020/21 | Mirandes | 0–0 | Lugo | 2.06/2.92/4.48 |
| 20/07/2019/20 | Lugo | 2–1 | Mirandes | 1.47/4.01/7.59 |
| 02/10/1919/20 | Mirandes | 1–1 | Lugo | 2.43/2.99/3.26 |
| 09/10/1616/17 | Mirandes | 2–2 | Lugo | 2.16/3.25/3.49 |
| 18/03/1716/17 | Lugo | 2–1 | Mirandes | 1.80/3.37/4.79 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Lugo
Away Record: Mirandes
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Lugo defeated Mirandes 2:1. The match was played in Segunda División 2020. Goals were scored by Pablo Martínez 40′, Manu Barreiro 87′ (pen.), Manu Barreiro 90′ (pen.). 6 yellow cards were shown. Lugo had 40% possession while Mirandes held 60%. Lugo had 7 shots (4 on target) compared to 15 (3 on target) for Mirandes. Lugo made 5 substitutions, Mirandes made 4. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Gerard Valentín 57′), Goal cancelled (Chris Ramos 90′).
Match Events
Key match events between Lugo and Mirandes — 3 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Javi Muñoz
Penalty
Penalty
Match Statistics
Lugo had 40% possession against Mirandes's 60%. Lugo registered 7 shots (4 on target) while Mirandes managed 15 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 3–5. Fouls committed: 12–9.
Lineups
Lugo lined up in a 4-1-4-1 formation under Rubén Albés, while Mirandes deployed a 4-3-3 under José Alberto López.
Defensive Solidity
Lugo deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Mirandes's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Lugo field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Mirandes's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Lugo start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Mirandes averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: Rubén Albés
Substitutes
Coach: José Alberto López
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Lugo have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Mirandes show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Lugo
Mirandes
API data: 17 Apr 2026