14 January 2026 at 19:45
Serie A · Italy · Season 2025Match Events
Key match events between Inter and Lecce — 1 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
Match Statistics
Inter had 68% possession against Lecce's 32%. Inter registered 21 shots (7 on target) while Lecce managed 10 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 11–3. Fouls committed: 11–14.
Match Summary
Inter defeated Lecce 1:0. The match was played in Serie A 2025. Goals were scored by F. Esposito 78′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Inter had 68% possession while Lecce held 32%. Inter had 21 shots (7 on target) compared to 10 (1 on target) for Lecce. Expected goals: Inter 1.83 — Lecce 0.48. Inter made 5 substitutions, Lecce made 4. VAR was involved: Penalty cancelled (Ange-Yoan Bonny 26′).
Inter vs Lecce Head to Head Results
Inter and Lecce have met 1 times — Inter won 1, Lecce won 0, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2026. Inter leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 2 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (2 for the home side, 0 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–2 in 2026.
1
Inter
0
Drawn
0
Lecce
Recent Meetings (1)
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Inter have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. Lecce show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Inter
Lecce
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Inter dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.6
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
20%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (85%) — the odds may underestimate Inter.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.3%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.13 | 9.00 | 19.00 |
| Max | 1.14 | 9.03 | 20.01 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 84.5% | 10.7% | 4.8% |
| Public market | 84.4% | 10.6% | 5.0% |
Inter vs Lecce — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2625/26 | Lecce | 0–2 | Inter | 7.00/4.33/1.48 |
| 14/01/2625/26 | Inter | 1–0 | Lecce | 1.13/9.02/19.51 |
| 26/01/2524/25 | Lecce | 0–4 | Inter | 9.11/5.24/1.33 |
| 24/08/2424/25 | Inter | 2–0 | Lecce | 1.19/7.00/15.02 |
| 25/02/2423/24 | Lecce | 0–4 | Inter | 7.40/4.62/1.42 |
| 23/12/2323/24 | Inter | 2–0 | Lecce | 1.21/6.51/12.95 |
| 05/03/2322/23 | Inter | 2–0 | Lecce | 1.36/4.84/9.52 |
| 13/08/2222/23 | Lecce | 1–2 | Inter | 10.58/5.72/1.29 |
| 19/01/2019/20 | Lecce | 1–1 | Inter | 10.56/5.53/1.29 |
| 26/08/1919/20 | Inter | 4–0 | Lecce | 1.22/6.21/14.53 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Inter
Away Record: Lecce
Data: football-data.co.uk
API data: 15 Mar 2026