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Ascoli vs Crotone

Full Time

Serie B · Season 2018

Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno30 December 2018 at 14:00
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Ascoli

32
Referee: Luca Massimi

Match Events

Ascoli
Crotone
Kick Off
9′
S. Nwankwo
16′
M. Firenze

assist: F. Valietti

41′Federico Valietti
Riccardo Brosco44′
Half Time
I. De SantisD. Frattesi
46′
M. TroianoF. Casarini
46′
R. Brosco

assist: N. Ninković

46′
66′
A. NaliniA. Budimir
Bright Addae67′
L. RossetiS. Ganz
75′
Simone Ganz82′
83′Marco Firenze
88′
M. RohdénN. Zanellato
G. Beretta

assist: S. Ganz

88′
Simone Ganz90′
Simone Ganz90′
S. Ganz

assist: L. Laverone

90+5′
Full Time

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal3
10Total Shots10
0Blocked Shots0
0Shots insidebox0
0Shots outsidebox0
9Fouls19
5Corner Kicks7
3Offsides2
56%Ball Possession44%
3Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves2
0Total passes0
0Passes accurate0
0Passes %0

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Ascoli deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Crotone's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Ascoli field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Crotone's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Ascoli start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Crotone averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Ascoli4-3-1-24-4-2Crotone
GKDEFMIDFWD
12Bacci23Brosco37Laverone14Padella4Santis5Troiano19Addae11Ninković17Cavion21Beretta10Rosseti22Festa11Faraoni23Väisänen3Cuomo27Valietti18Barberis20Molina6Rohdén7Firenze9Nalini25Nwankwo

Substitutes

Coach: V. Vivarini

Substitutes

Coach: G. Stroppa

AscoliPosition StrengthCrotone
Ascoli4-3-1-2
12GoalkeeperA. Bacci
23DefenderR. Brosco
37DefenderL. Laverone
14DefenderE. Padella
4DefenderI. De Santis
5MidfielderM. Troiano
19MidfielderB. Addae
17MidfielderM. Cavion
11ForwardN. Ninković
21ForwardG. Beretta
10ForwardL. Rosseti
Crotone4-4-2
22GoalkeeperM. Festa
11DefenderD. Faraoni
23DefenderS. Väisänen
3DefenderG. Cuomo
27DefenderF. Valietti
18MidfielderA. Barberis
6MidfielderM. Rohdén
7MidfielderM. Firenze
20ForwardS. Molina
9ForwardA. Nalini
25ForwardS. Nwankwo

Match Summary

Ascoli defeated Crotone 3:2. The match was played in Serie B 2018. Goals were scored by S. Nwankwo 9′, M. Firenze 16′, R. Brosco 46′, G. Beretta 88′, S. Ganz 90′. 6 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Ascoli had 56% possession while Crotone held 44%. Ascoli had 10 shots (6 on target) compared to 10 (7 on target) for Crotone. Ascoli made 3 substitutions, Crotone made 2.

Rivalry since 2019

Ascoli vs Crotone Head to Head Results

5 stretnutí
Ascoli
1
wins
Drawn
2
Crotone
2
wins
Total goals
16 · 3.2/match
Both scored
4/5 · 80%
Over 2.5
4/5 · 80%

Recent Form

Ascoli

LWWWWW

Crotone

DLWWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Ascoli3wins
2draws10 meetings
Crotone5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Ascoli.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 43.5%Draw 33.9%Away 28.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.202.883.50
Max2.393.103.69
Market favourite:Ascoli · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market40.4%33.5%26.1%
Public market42.8%30.4%26.9%
Δ2.4%3.1%0.7%

Ascoli vs Crotone — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Ascoli
Result vs. Market: Ascoli (44%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AscoliHalf-time:02Crotone
20Shots13
6Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
27/02/22Ascoli2–1Crotone2.23/3.09/3.56
02/10/21Crotone2–2Ascoli2.18/3.36/3.28
29/06/20Ascoli1–1Crotone3.57/3.45/2.07
08/11/19Crotone3–1Ascoli1.50/3.89/7.47
11/05/19Crotone3–0Ascoli1.55/3.53/7.56
30/12/18Ascoli3–2Crotone2.30/2.95/3.56
24/10/15Ascoli0–1Crotone2.65/3.05/2.88
05/03/16Crotone2–0Ascoli1.64/3.57/6.05
06/10/12Ascoli2–0Crotone2.31/3.06/3.33
02/04/13Crotone1–0Ascoli2.07/3.15/3.88

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ascoli

W 237D 212L 281
Over 2.545
Goals scored834

Away Record: Crotone

W 202D 175L 231
Over 2.547
Goals scored737

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026