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Ascoli vs Crotone

Full Time

Serie B · Season 2019

Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno29 June 2020 at 20:00
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Ascoli

11
Referee: S. Sozza

Match Events

Ascoli
Crotone
Kick Off
Stellone R.33′
41′M. Curado
Half Time
N. NinkovićM. Trotta
46′
E. Ferigra48′
L. MorosiniM. Eramo
59′
59′
S. ArmenterosS. Nwankwo
60′
M. MustacchioJ. Evans
60′
A. Barberis
63′G. Crociata
M. Eramo65′
N. ValentiniM. Troiano
68′
L. Ranieri69′
S. PadoinDiogo Pinto
75′
P. BrlekD. Petrucci
75′
M. Troiano76′
M. Trotta

assist: Diogo Pinto

78′
87′
G. CrociataM. López
Full Time

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal8
6Total Shots18
0Blocked Shots6
5Shots insidebox9
1Shots outsidebox9
14Fouls14
3Corner Kicks6
3Offsides0
33%Ball Possession67%
4Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
286Total passes559
200Passes accurate482
70%Passes %86%

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Ascoli deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Crotone's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Ascoli field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Crotone's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Ascoli start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Crotone averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Ascoli3-4-1-23-5-2Crotone
GKDEFMIDFWD
33Leali4Ferigra2Valenti.3Ranieri28Andreoni19Padoin30Brlek17Sernico.38Morosini9Scamacca11Ninković1Cordaz2Curado34Marrone3Cuomo7Mustacc.10Benali18Barberis14Crociata17Molina30Messias9Armente.

Substitutes

Coach: R. Stellone

Substitutes

Coach: G. Stroppa

AscoliPosition StrengthCrotone
Ascoli3-4-1-2
33GoalkeeperNicola Leali
4DefenderErick Ferigra
2DefenderNahuel Valentini
3DefenderLuca Ranieri
28MidfielderCristian Andreoni
19MidfielderSimone Padoin
30MidfielderPetar Brlek
17MidfielderLeonardo Sernicola
38ForwardLeonardo Morosini
9ForwardGianluca Scamacca
11ForwardNikola Ninković
Crotone3-5-2
1GoalkeeperAlex Cordaz
2DefenderMarcos Curado
34DefenderLuca Marrone
3DefenderGiuseppe Cuomo
7MidfielderMattia Mustacchio
10MidfielderAhmad Benali
18MidfielderAndrea Barberis
14MidfielderGiovanni Crociata
17MidfielderSalvatore Molina
30ForwardJunior Messias
9ForwardSamuel Armenteros

Match Summary

Ascoli and Crotone drew 1:1. The match was played in Serie B 2019. Goals were scored by A. Barberis 60′, M. Trotta 78′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Ascoli had 33% possession while Crotone held 67%. Ascoli had 6 shots (2 on target) compared to 18 (4 on target) for Crotone. Ascoli made 5 substitutions, Crotone made 3.

Rivalry since 2018

Ascoli vs Crotone Head to Head Results

5 stretnutí
Ascoli
2
wins
Drawn
1
Crotone
2
wins
Total goals
19 · 3.8/match
Both scored
4/5 · 80%
Over 2.5
5/5 · 100%

Recent Form

Ascoli

LWWWWW

Crotone

DLWWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Ascoli3wins
2draws10 meetings
Crotone5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (27%) — the odds may underestimate Ascoli.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 28.0%Draw 29.0%Away 48.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.503.402.00
Max3.603.502.15
Over 2.5: 58.8%Under 2.5: 47.6%
Market favourite:Crotone · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market26.9%28.0%45.1%
Public market26.1%26.9%47.0%
Δ0.8%1.1%1.9%

Ascoli vs Crotone — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Crotone (48%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AscoliHalf-time:00Crotone
6Shots18
2Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
27/02/22Ascoli2–1Crotone2.23/3.09/3.56
02/10/21Crotone2–2Ascoli2.18/3.36/3.28
29/06/20Ascoli1–1Crotone3.57/3.45/2.07
08/11/19Crotone3–1Ascoli1.50/3.89/7.47
11/05/19Crotone3–0Ascoli1.55/3.53/7.56
30/12/18Ascoli3–2Crotone2.30/2.95/3.56
24/10/15Ascoli0–1Crotone2.65/3.05/2.88
05/03/16Crotone2–0Ascoli1.64/3.57/6.05
06/10/12Ascoli2–0Crotone2.31/3.06/3.33
02/04/13Crotone1–0Ascoli2.07/3.15/3.88

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ascoli

W 237D 212L 281
Over 2.545
Goals scored834

Away Record: Crotone

W 202D 175L 231
Over 2.547
Goals scored737

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026