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Crotone vs Ascoli

Full Time

Serie B · Season 2019

Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone8 November 2019 at 20:00
31
Away

Ascoli

Referee: M. Serra

Match Events

Crotone
Ascoli
Kick Off
G. Crociata

assist: S. Nwankwo

6′
13′Raffaele Pucino
S. Nwankwo

assist: G. Crociata

34′
39′
L. Marrone

Own Goal

Mattia Mustacchio44′
45′Andrew Gravillon
Half Time
60′
G. ScamaccaM. Ardemagni
60′
A. GerboS. D'Elia
71′
A. GravillonN. Valentini
72′Nahuel Valentini
Junior MessiasL. Vido
78′
M. MustacchioA. Mazzotta
83′
N. Valentini

Own Goal

87′
S. MolinaM. Rutten
89′
Full Time

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
11Shots off Goal3
25Total Shots7
8Blocked Shots1
11Shots insidebox3
14Shots outsidebox4
17Fouls18
8Corner Kicks7
2Offsides3
56%Ball Possession44%
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves4
519Total passes405
456Passes accurate317
88%Passes %78%

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Crotone deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Ascoli's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Crotone field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Ascoli's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Crotone start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Ascoli averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Crotone3-5-23-5-2Ascoli
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Cordaz34Marrone6Gigliot.5Golemić7Mustacc.18Barberis17Molina14Crociata21Zanella.25Nwankwo30Messias33Leali23Brosco5Pucino15Gravill.19Padoin6Troiano25Gerbo30Brlek7Cavion9Scamacca17Cruz

Substitutes

Coach: G. Stroppa

Substitutes

Coach: P. Zanetti

CrotonePosition StrengthAscoli
Crotone3-5-2
1GoalkeeperA. Cordaz
34DefenderL. Marrone
6DefenderG. Gigliotti
5DefenderV. Golemić
7MidfielderM. Mustacchio
18MidfielderA. Barberis
17MidfielderS. Molina
14MidfielderG. Crociata
21MidfielderN. Zanellato
25ForwardS. Nwankwo
30ForwardJunior Messias
Ascoli3-5-2
33GoalkeeperN. Leali
23DefenderR. Brosco
5DefenderR. Pucino
15DefenderA. Gravillon
19MidfielderS. Padoin
6MidfielderM. Troiano
25MidfielderA. Gerbo
30MidfielderP. Brlek
7MidfielderM. Cavion
9ForwardG. Scamacca
17ForwardA. da Cruz

Match Summary

Crotone defeated Ascoli 3:1. The match was played in Serie B 2019. Goals were scored by G. Crociata 6′, S. Nwankwo 34′, L. Marrone 39′ (o.g.), N. Valentini 87′ (o.g.). 4 yellow cards were shown. Crotone had 56% possession while Ascoli held 44%. Crotone had 25 shots (6 on target) compared to 7 (3 on target) for Ascoli. Crotone made 3 substitutions, Ascoli made 3.

Rivalry since 2018

Crotone vs Ascoli Head to Head Results

5 stretnutí
Crotone
1
wins
Drawn
2
Ascoli
2
wins
Total goals
17 · 3.4/match
Both scored
4/5 · 80%
Over 2.5
4/5 · 80%

Recent Form

Crotone

DLWWLW

Ascoli

LWWWWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Crotone5wins
2draws10 meetings
Ascoli3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (63%) — the odds may underestimate Crotone.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 66.7%Draw 25.7%Away 13.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.473.757.40
Max1.534.027.50
Over 2.5: 55.6%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Crotone · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market63.0%24.0%13.0%
Public market62.5%25.0%12.5%
Δ0.5%1.0%0.5%

Crotone vs Ascoli — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Crotone
Result vs. Market: Crotone (67%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CrotoneHalf-time:21Ascoli
24Shots7
7Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
27/02/22Ascoli2–1Crotone2.23/3.09/3.56
02/10/21Crotone2–2Ascoli2.18/3.36/3.28
29/06/20Ascoli1–1Crotone3.57/3.45/2.07
08/11/19Crotone3–1Ascoli1.50/3.89/7.47
11/05/19Crotone3–0Ascoli1.55/3.53/7.56
30/12/18Ascoli3–2Crotone2.30/2.95/3.56
24/10/15Ascoli0–1Crotone2.65/3.05/2.88
05/03/16Crotone2–0Ascoli1.64/3.57/6.05
06/10/12Ascoli2–0Crotone2.31/3.06/3.33
02/04/13Crotone1–0Ascoli2.07/3.15/3.88

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Crotone

W 202D 175L 231
Over 2.547
Goals scored737

Away Record: Ascoli

W 237D 212L 281
Over 2.545
Goals scored834

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026