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Modena vs Palermo

Full Time

Serie B · Season 2022

Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena29 October 2022 at 13:00
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Modena

02
Referee: F. Fourneau

Match Events

Modena
Palermo
Kick Off
Luca Magnino7′
9′
M. Brunori

Penalty

14′Mladen Devetak
45+2′
N. Valente

assist: F. Di Mariano

Half Time
L. MagninoE. Duca
46′
46′
M. DevetakR. Crivello
M. ArmellinoS. Panada
66′
D. DiawD. Marsura
66′
71′
F. Di MarianoR. Floriano
71′
J. SegreD. Šarić
72′
N. ValenteD. Bettella
F. GerliR. Giovannini
76′
L. TremoladaN. Mosti
76′
81′
C. GomesL. Štulac
Antonio Pergreffi83′
Nicola Mosti90+4′
Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal8
3Shots off Goal1
15Total Shots11
8Blocked Shots2
8Shots insidebox4
7Shots outsidebox7
22Fouls10
6Corner Kicks2
1Offsides1
58%Ball Possession42%
4Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
6Goalkeeper Saves4
469Total passes344
396Passes accurate270
84%Passes %78%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Modena is 6.80, compared to 6.69 for Palermo. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Modena's highest-rated starter is F. Gerli (6.98), while Palermo's best-rated player is J. Segre (6.86).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Modena have contributed 0 goals and 3 assists this season, led by —. Palermo's starters account for 6 goals and 4 assists, spearheaded by J. Segre (4G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Modena deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Palermo's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Modena field 4 midfielders averaging 6.80, versus Palermo's 3 rated 6.73. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Modena start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Palermo averaging 6.62. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 85% for Modena and 80% for Palermo. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Modena's starters have collected 8 yellow cards this season, compared to 7 for Palermo. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Modena's starting XI is 31.3 (youngest: L. Magnino (28), oldest: A. Pergreffi (37)), while Palermo average 28.0 (youngest: C. Gomes (25), oldest: M. Brunori (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Modena's starters average 16 league appearances each, versus 24 for Palermo. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Modena4-3-1-24-3-3Palermo
GKDEFMIDFWD
26Gagno96Oukhadda15Silvest.4Pergref.27Azzi6Magnino16Gerli21Armelli.10Tremola.99Diaw11Falcine.22Pigliac.37Matějů18Nedelce.15Marconi34Devetak8Segre5Gomes14Broh30Valente9Brunori10Mariano

Substitutes

Coach: A. Tesser

Substitutes

Coach: E. Corini

ModenaPosition StrengthPalermo
6.80
Avg Rating
6.69
6.80Midfielder (4 v 3)6.73
0G 3A5G 3A
Forward (2 v 3)6.62
0G 0A1G 1A
Modena4-3-1-2
26GoalkeeperR. Gagno
96DefenderS. Oukhadda
15DefenderT. Silvestri
4DefenderA. Pergreffi
27DefenderPaulo Azzi
6MidfielderL. Magnino6.63A
16MidfielderF. Gerli7.0
21MidfielderM. Armellino
10MidfielderL. Tremolada
99ForwardD. Diaw
11ForwardD. Falcinelli
Palermo4-3-3
22GoalkeeperM. Pigliacelli
37DefenderA. Matějů
18DefenderI. Nedelcearu
15DefenderI. Marconi
34DefenderM. Devetak
8MidfielderJ. Segre6.94G3A
5MidfielderC. Gomes6.61G
14MidfielderJ. Broh
30ForwardN. Valente
9ForwardM. Brunori6.61G1A
10ForwardF. Di Mariano

Match Summary

Palermo defeated Modena 2:0. The match was played in Serie B 2022. Goals were scored by M. Brunori 9′ (pen.), N. Valente 45′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Modena had 58% possession while Palermo held 42%. Modena had 15 shots (4 on target) compared to 11 (8 on target) for Palermo. Modena made 5 substitutions, Palermo made 5.

Rivalry since 2023

Modena vs Palermo Head to Head Results

7 stretnutí
Modena
0
wins
Drawn
3
Palermo
4
wins
Total goals
23 · 3.3/match
Both scored
4/7 · 57%
Over 2.5
3/7 · 43%

Recent Form

Modena

WLLDDL

Palermo

WDWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Modena0wins
5draws10 meetings
Palermo5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Palermo.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.2%Draw 30.3%Away 29.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.253.25
Max2.283.353.44
Over 2.5: 50.5%Under 2.5: 53.2%
Market favourite:Modena · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.7%29.0%28.3%
Public market43.8%28.5%27.7%
Δ1.1%0.5%0.6%

Modena vs Palermo — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Palermo
Result vs. Market: Modena (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ModenaHalf-time:02Palermo
15Shots11
4Shots on target8

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
24/01/26Modena0–0Palermo2.30/3.10/3.20
19/10/25Palermo1–1Modena2.09/3.15/3.75
12/01/25Palermo2–0Modena2.03/3.04/4.13
19/10/24Modena2–2Palermo2.41/3.03/3.16
20/01/24Palermo4–2Modena2.21/3.26/3.35
07/10/23Modena0–2Palermo2.55/3.12/2.99
17/03/23Palermo5–2Modena2.36/3.18/3.19
29/10/22Modena0–2Palermo2.21/3.30/3.36
24/08/13Modena1–1Palermo3.49/3.16/2.18
25/01/14Palermo0–0Modena1.65/3.58/5.69

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Modena

W 226D 235L 232
Over 2.542
Goals scored824

Away Record: Palermo

W 168D 134L 91
Over 2.547
Goals scored568

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026