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Palermo vs Modena

Full Time

Serie B · Season 2024

Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo12 January 2025 at 14:00
20
Away

Modena

Referee: K. Bonacina

Match Events

Palermo
Modena
Kick Off
Claudio Gomes25′
M. Brunori

assist: F. Ranocchia

36′
Goal confirmed40′
VAR
Half Time
J. Le Douaron

assist: F. Ranocchia

56′
59′
G. DefrelG. Caso
59′
F. GerliT. Battistella
N. PierozziS. Diakité
74′
C. GomesD. Šarić
74′
76′
Eric BotteghinE. Duca
76′
Pedro MendesF. Abiuso
Dimitris Nikolaou81′
J. SegreA. Vasić
85′
J. Le DouaronT. Henry
85′
88′Simone Santoro
M. BrunoriV. Verre
89′
89′
A. Di PardoE. Gliozzi
Full Time

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal9
15Total Shots17
4Blocked Shots7
7Shots insidebox10
8Shots outsidebox7
20Fouls8
9Corner Kicks8
0Offsides3
37%Ball Possession63%
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
298Total passes544
232Passes accurate471
78%Passes %87%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Palermo is 6.79, compared to 6.85 for Modena. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Palermo's highest-rated starter is F. Ranocchia (7.31), while Modena's best-rated player is S. Santoro (7.16).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Palermo have contributed 25 goals and 17 assists this season, led by F. Ranocchia (6G). Modena's starters account for 8 goals and 10 assists, spearheaded by Pedro Mendes (4G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Palermo deploy 3 defenders rated 6.67 on average, against Modena's 3-man backline averaging 6.96. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Palermo field 5 midfielders averaging 6.93, versus Modena's 4 rated 6.99. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Palermo start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.61, compared to 3 for Modena averaging 6.58. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 76% for Palermo and 81% for Modena. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Palermo's starters have collected 27 yellow cards this season, compared to 16 for Modena. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Palermo's starting XI is 27.0 (youngest: N. Pierozzi (24), oldest: M. Brunori (31)), while Modena average 27.3 (youngest: A. Dellavalle (21), oldest: G. Defrel (34)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Palermo's starters average 27 league appearances each, versus 25 for Modena. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Palermo3-1-4-23-4-2-1Modena
GKDEFMIDFWD
46Sirigu4Baniya43Nikolaou32Ceccaro.6Gomes27Pierozzi8Segre10Ranocch.3Lund9Brunori21Douaron26Gagno23Caldara31Bottegh.25Dellava.18Pardo16Gerli8Santoro29Cotali92Defrel10Palumbo11Mendes

Substitutes

Coach: A. Dionisi

Substitutes

Coach: P. Mandelli

PalermoPosition StrengthModena
6.79
Avg Rating
6.85
6.67Defender (3 v 3)6.96
3G 2A0G 0A
6.93Midfielder (5 v 4)6.99
16G 9A2G 6A
6.61Forward (2 v 3)6.58
6G 6A6G 4A
Palermo3-1-4-2
46GoalkeeperS. Sirigu
4DefenderR. Baniya
43DefenderD. Nikolaou6.3
32DefenderP. Ceccaroni7.03G2A
6MidfielderC. Gomes6.61G
27MidfielderN. Pierozzi7.05G4A
8MidfielderJ. Segre6.94G3A
10MidfielderF. Ranocchia7.36G2A
3MidfielderK. Lund
9ForwardM. Brunori6.61G1A
21ForwardJ. Le Douaron6.65G5A
Modena3-4-2-1
26GoalkeeperR. Gagno
23DefenderM. Caldara
31DefenderEric Botteghin
25DefenderA. Dellavalle7.0
18MidfielderA. Di Pardo
16MidfielderF. Gerli7.0
8MidfielderS. Santoro7.22G4A
29MidfielderM. Cotali6.82A
92ForwardG. Defrel6.62G3A
10ForwardA. Palumbo
11ForwardPedro Mendes6.54G1A

Match Summary

Palermo defeated Modena 2:0. The match was played in Serie B 2024. Goals were scored by M. Brunori 36′, J. Le Douaron 56′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Palermo had 37% possession while Modena held 63%. Palermo had 15 shots (6 on target) compared to 17 (1 on target) for Modena. Palermo made 5 substitutions, Modena made 5. VAR was involved: Goal confirmed (Matteo Brunori 40′).

Rivalry since 2022

Palermo vs Modena Head to Head Results

7 stretnutí
Palermo
4
wins
Drawn
3
Modena
0
wins
Total goals
23 · 3.3/match
Both scored
4/7 · 57%
Over 2.5
3/7 · 43%

Recent Form

Palermo

WDWDWW

Modena

WLLDDL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Palermo5wins
5draws10 meetings
Modena0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate Palermo.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 49.2%Draw 32.9%Away 24.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.002.903.80
Max2.053.134.50
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite:Palermo · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market46.4%30.4%23.2%
Public market46.9%32.3%20.8%
Δ0.5%1.9%2.4%

Palermo vs Modena — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Palermo
Result vs. Market: Palermo (49%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PalermoHalf-time:10Modena
15Shots17
6Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
24/01/26Modena0–0Palermo2.30/3.10/3.20
19/10/25Palermo1–1Modena2.09/3.15/3.75
12/01/25Palermo2–0Modena2.03/3.04/4.13
19/10/24Modena2–2Palermo2.41/3.03/3.16
20/01/24Palermo4–2Modena2.21/3.26/3.35
07/10/23Modena0–2Palermo2.55/3.12/2.99
17/03/23Palermo5–2Modena2.36/3.18/3.19
29/10/22Modena0–2Palermo2.21/3.30/3.36
24/08/13Modena1–1Palermo3.49/3.16/2.18
25/01/14Palermo0–0Modena1.65/3.58/5.69

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Palermo

W 168D 134L 91
Over 2.547
Goals scored568

Away Record: Modena

W 226D 235L 232
Over 2.542
Goals scored824

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026