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Palermo vs Modena

Full Time

Serie B · Season 2023

Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo20 January 2024 at 15:15
42
Away

Modena

Referee: K. Bonacina

Match Events

Palermo
Modena
Kick Off
7′Fabio Ponsi
J. Segre

assist: L. Henderson

8′
22′Luca Tremolada
31′
T. Battistella

assist: F. Ponsi

M. Brunori

assist: P. Ceccaroni

35′
38′Antonio Pergreffi
Matteo Brunori45+2′
Half Time
46′
L. MagninoL. Strizzolo
R. InsigneF. Di Mariano
54′
L. HendersonA. Vasić
55′
57′
L. TremoladaF. Abiuso
57′
F. PonsiA. Riccio
58′
E. GliozziK. Bozhanaj
59′
F. Abiuso
F. Di FrancescoE. Soleri
75′
K. LundG. Aurelio
75′
76′Luca Strizzolo
79′
J. ManconiA. Palumbo
84′Fabio Abiuso
M. BrunoriL. Mancuso
84′
E. Soleri

assist: J. Segre

88′
Goal confirmed90+9′
VAR
E. Soleri

assist: L. Mancuso

90+6′
Full Time

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal6
16Total Shots11
4Blocked Shots1
14Shots insidebox10
2Shots outsidebox1
13Fouls16
7Corner Kicks8
0Offsides1
54%Ball Possession46%
1Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
475Total passes399
389Passes accurate305
82%Passes %76%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Palermo is 6.78, compared to 6.76 for Modena. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Palermo's highest-rated starter is P. Ceccaroni (7.03), while Modena's best-rated player is F. Gerli (6.98).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Palermo have contributed 9 goals and 6 assists this season, led by J. Segre (4G). Modena's starters account for 11 goals and 5 assists, spearheaded by E. Gliozzi (11G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Palermo deploy 4 defenders rated 7.03 on average, against Modena's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Palermo field 4 midfielders averaging 6.73, versus Modena's 3 rated 6.80. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Palermo start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.62, compared to 3 for Modena averaging 6.67. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 81% for Palermo and 78% for Modena. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Palermo's starters have collected 11 yellow cards this season, compared to 8 for Modena. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Palermo's starting XI is 29.0 (youngest: C. Gomes (25), oldest: F. Di Francesco (31)), while Modena average 29.6 (youngest: F. Ponsi (24), oldest: A. Pergreffi (37)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Palermo's starters average 27 league appearances each, versus 16 for Modena. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Palermo4-4-1-14-3-3Modena
GKDEFMIDFWD
22Pigliac.2Graves18Nedelce.32Ceccaro.3Lund11Insigne4Gomes8Segre17Frances.53Henders.9Brunori26Gagno3Ponsi19Zaro4Pergref.91Corrado6Magnino16Gerli23Battist.10Tremola.9Gliozzi17Manconi

Substitutes

Coach: E. Corini

Substitutes

Coach: P. Bianco

PalermoPosition StrengthModena
6.78
Avg Rating
6.76
7.03Defender (4 v 4)
3G 2A0G 0A
6.73Midfielder (4 v 3)6.80
5G 3A0G 3A
6.62Forward (2 v 3)6.67
1G 1A11G 2A
Palermo4-4-1-1
22GoalkeeperM. Pigliacelli
2DefenderS. Graves
18DefenderI. Nedelcearu
32DefenderP. Ceccaroni7.03G2A
3DefenderK. Lund
11MidfielderR. Insigne
4MidfielderC. Gomes6.61G
8MidfielderJ. Segre6.94G3A
17MidfielderF. Di Francesco
53ForwardL. Henderson
9ForwardM. Brunori6.61G1A
Modena4-3-3
26GoalkeeperR. Gagno
3DefenderF. Ponsi
19DefenderG. Zaro
4DefenderA. Pergreffi
91DefenderN. Corrado
6MidfielderL. Magnino6.63A
16MidfielderF. Gerli7.0
23MidfielderT. Battistella
10ForwardL. Tremolada
9ForwardE. Gliozzi6.711G2A
17ForwardJ. Manconi

Match Summary

Palermo defeated Modena 4:2. The match was played in Serie B 2023. Goals were scored by J. Segre 8′, T. Battistella 31′, M. Brunori 35′, F. Abiuso 59′, E. Soleri 88′, E. Soleri 90′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Palermo had 54% possession while Modena held 46%. Palermo had 16 shots (7 on target) compared to 11 (4 on target) for Modena. Palermo made 5 substitutions, Modena made 5. VAR was involved: Goal confirmed (Edoardo Soleri 90′).

Rivalry since 2022

Palermo vs Modena Head to Head Results

7 stretnutí
Palermo
4
wins
Drawn
3
Modena
0
wins
Total goals
19 · 2.7/match
Both scored
3/7 · 43%
Over 2.5
2/7 · 29%

Recent Form

Palermo

WDWDWW

Modena

WLLDDL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Palermo5wins
5draws10 meetings
Modena0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Palermo.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.2%Draw 30.6%Away 29.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.243.20
Max2.283.303.55
Over 2.5: 48.1%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Palermo · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.6%30.0%27.4%
Public market42.3%28.8%28.8%
Δ0.3%1.2%1.5%

Palermo vs Modena — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Palermo
Result vs. Market: Palermo (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PalermoHalf-time:21Modena
16Shots11
7Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
24/01/26Modena0–0Palermo2.30/3.10/3.20
19/10/25Palermo1–1Modena2.09/3.15/3.75
12/01/25Palermo2–0Modena2.03/3.04/4.13
19/10/24Modena2–2Palermo2.41/3.03/3.16
20/01/24Palermo4–2Modena2.21/3.26/3.35
07/10/23Modena0–2Palermo2.55/3.12/2.99
17/03/23Palermo5–2Modena2.36/3.18/3.19
29/10/22Modena0–2Palermo2.21/3.30/3.36
24/08/13Modena1–1Palermo3.49/3.16/2.18
25/01/14Palermo0–0Modena1.65/3.58/5.69

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Palermo

W 168D 134L 91
Over 2.547
Goals scored568

Away Record: Modena

W 226D 235L 232
Over 2.542
Goals scored824

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026