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Modena vs Cremonese

Full Time

Serie B · Season 2023

Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena3 March 2024 at 17:30
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Modena

01
Referee: M. Marcenaro

Match Events

Modena
Cremonese
Kick Off
Thomas Battistella20′
E. GliozziJ. Manconi
24′
Shady Oukhadda37′
Half Time
S. OukhaddaL. Magnino
46′
T. BattistellaS. Santoro
46′
62′
C. FallettiF. Vázquez
68′
C. PickelG. Abrego
68′
L. ZanimacchiaP. Ghiglione
70′Matteo Bianchetti
80′
M. CastagnettiŽ. Majer
80′
M. CodaD. Ciofani
Fabio Ponsi84′
84′Dennis Johnsen
Simone Santoro90+4′
N. CorradoK. Bozhanaj
90+1′
90+5′
M. Bianchetti

assist: L. Sernicola

Full Time

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal5
15Total Shots14
5Blocked Shots5
9Shots insidebox11
6Shots outsidebox3
13Fouls12
8Corner Kicks1
3Offsides2
44%Ball Possession56%
4Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
383Total passes485
296Passes accurate394
77%Passes %81%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Modena is 6.73, compared to 6.70 for Cremonese. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Modena's highest-rated starter is F. Gerli (6.98), while Cremonese's best-rated player is L. Zanimacchia (6.80).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Modena have contributed 11 goals and 2 assists this season, led by E. Gliozzi (11G). Cremonese's starters account for 2 goals and 3 assists, spearheaded by L. Zanimacchia (1G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Modena deploy 3 defenders rated 6.53 on average, against Cremonese's 3-man backline averaging 6.79. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Modena field 4 midfielders averaging 6.98, versus Cremonese's 5 rated 6.67. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Modena start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.67, compared to 2 for Cremonese averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 81% for Modena and 67% for Cremonese. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Modena's starters have collected 6 yellow cards this season, compared to 4 for Cremonese. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Modena's starting XI is 28.0 (youngest: F. Ponsi (24), oldest: E. Gliozzi (30)), while Cremonese average 29.7 (youngest: L. Zanimacchia (27), oldest: M. Castagnetti (36)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Modena's starters average 17 league appearances each, versus 7 for Cremonese. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Modena3-4-2-13-5-2Cremonese
GKDEFMIDFWD
12Seculin3Ponsi19Zaro33Cauz99Oukhadda16Gerli23Battist.91Corrado90Abiuso5Palumbo9Gliozzi22Jungdal26Antov5Ravanel.15Bianche.98Zanimac.6Pickel19Castagn.71Johnsen17Sernico.90Coda7Falletti

Substitutes

Coach: P. Bianco

Substitutes

Coach: G. Stroppa

ModenaPosition StrengthCremonese
6.73
Avg Rating
6.70
6.53Defender (3 v 3)6.79
0G 0A0G 2A
6.98Midfielder (4 v 5)6.67
0G 0A2G 1A
6.67Forward (3 v 2)
11G 2A0G 0A
Modena3-4-2-1
12GoalkeeperA. Seculin
3DefenderF. Ponsi
19DefenderG. Zaro
33DefenderC. Cauz6.5
99MidfielderS. Oukhadda
16MidfielderF. Gerli7.0
23MidfielderT. Battistella
91MidfielderN. Corrado
90ForwardF. Abiuso
5ForwardA. Palumbo
9ForwardE. Gliozzi6.711G2A
Cremonese3-5-2
22GoalkeeperA. Jungdal
26DefenderV. Antov
5DefenderL. Ravanelli
15DefenderM. Bianchetti6.82A
98MidfielderL. Zanimacchia6.81G
6MidfielderC. Pickel6.5
19MidfielderM. Castagnetti
71MidfielderD. Johnsen6.71G1A
17MidfielderL. Sernicola
90ForwardM. Coda
7ForwardC. Falletti

Match Summary

Cremonese defeated Modena 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2023. Goals were scored by M. Bianchetti 90′. 5 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Modena had 44% possession while Cremonese held 56%. Modena had 15 shots (5 on target) compared to 14 (4 on target) for Cremonese. Modena made 4 substitutions, Cremonese made 5.

Rivalry since 2023

Modena vs Cremonese Head to Head Results

3 stretnutí
Modena
0
wins
Drawn
2
Cremonese
1
wins
Total goals
12 · 4.0/match
Both scored
2/3 · 67%
Over 2.5
3/3 · 100%

Recent Form

Modena

WLLDDL

Cremonese

LLDLLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Modena0wins
2draws4 meetings
Cremonese2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (31%) — the odds may underestimate Cremonese.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 32.7%Draw 31.4%Away 39.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.003.162.45
Max3.113.202.57
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market31.3%30.8%37.9%
Public market31.6%29.6%38.7%
Δ0.3%1.2%0.8%

Modena vs Cremonese — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Cremonese
Result vs. Market: Cremonese (40%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ModenaHalf-time:00Cremonese
15Shots16
5Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
26/01/25Cremonese2–2Modena1.84/3.23/4.51
29/10/24Modena2–2Cremonese2.74/3.02/2.75
03/03/24Modena0–1Cremonese3.05/3.18/2.51
23/12/23Cremonese4–0Modena1.82/3.55/4.47

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Modena

W 226D 235L 232
Over 2.542
Goals scored824

Away Record: Cremonese

W 109D 114L 125
Over 2.542
Goals scored408

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026