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Forest Green vs Carlisle

The New Lawn, Nailsworth16 March 2019 at 15:00
Referee: Graham Salisbury

Match Events

Forest Green
Carlisle
Kick Off
R. Brown

assist: C. Doidge

31′
Half Time
49′
N. Thomas
R. ReidG. Williams
69′
81′
J. DevittS. Scougall
84′Tom Parkes
U. Godwin-MalifeJ. Mondal
89′
90+1′
H. HopeC. Simpson
Full Time

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Forest Green deploy 7 defenders rated — on average, against Carlisle's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Forest Green field 1 midfielders averaging —, versus Carlisle's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Forest Green start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Carlisle averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Forest GreenPosition StrengthCarlisle
Forest Green
34GoalkeeperL. Ward
23DefenderJ. Mills
16DefenderG. Gunning
6DefenderF. Rawson
2DefenderL. Shephard
22DefenderU. Godwin-Malife
7DefenderC. Winchester
19DefenderN. McGinley
10MidfielderR. Brown
26ForwardR. Reid
9ForwardC. Doidge
Carlisle
30GoalkeeperA. Collin
3DefenderD. Grainger
2DefenderG. Miller
5DefenderA. Gerrard
6DefenderT. Parkes
8MidfielderM. Jones
10MidfielderJ. Devitt
15MidfielderR. Slater
16ForwardN. Thomas
17ForwardC. O'Hare
9ForwardH. Hope

Match Summary

Forest Green and Carlisle drew 1:1. The match was played in League Two 2018. Goals were scored by R. Brown 31′, N. Thomas 49′. 1 yellow cards were shown. Forest Green made 2 substitutions, Carlisle made 2.

Rivalry since 2017

Forest Green vs Carlisle Head to Head Results

13 stretnutí
Forest Green
5
wins
Drawn
2
Carlisle
6
wins
Total goals
34 · 2.6/match
Both scored
6/13 · 46%
Over 2.5
7/13 · 54%

Recent Form

Forest Green

LWLWDW

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Forest Green5wins
2draws10 meetings
Carlisle3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (52%) — the odds may underestimate Carlisle.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 54.6%Draw 27.1%Away 23.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.813.604.20
Max1.853.754.50
Market favourite:Forest Green · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market52.3%25.5%22.2%
Public market52.5%25.9%21.6%

Forest Green vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Forest Green (55%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Forest GreenHalf-time:10Carlisle
9Shots22
2Shots on target11

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
22/01/22Forest Green3–0Carlisle1.67/3.66/5.50
02/10/21Carlisle0–2Forest Green3.43/3.38/2.11
02/02/21Carlisle1–2Forest Green1.83/3.69/4.28
19/12/20Forest Green1–0Carlisle2.62/3.11/2.85
28/01/20Forest Green1–4Carlisle1.63/3.93/5.83
17/09/19Carlisle0–0Forest Green2.40/3.37/3.06
16/03/19Forest Green1–1Carlisle1.83/3.69/4.32
24/11/18Carlisle1–2Forest Green3.02/3.42/2.40
27/01/18Carlisle1–0Forest Green1.80/3.72/4.61
23/12/17Forest Green0–1Carlisle4.11/3.50/1.93

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Forest Green

W 100D 69L 97
Over 2.546
Goals scored343

Away Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026