Menu

Forest Green vs Carlisle

The New Lawn, Nailsworth, Gloucestershire28 January 2020 at 19:45
Referee: B. Huxtable

Match Events

Forest Green
Carlisle
Kick Off
L. ShephardD. Bernard
17′
23′
N. Thomas

assist: G. Jones

26′
N. Thomas
31′Aaron Hayden
Half Time
A. CollinsE. Frear
46′
47′
N. Thomas

Penalty

49′
J. Kayode
55′Nick Anderton
R. HallM. Stevens
58′
C. Winchester

Penalty

59′
60′
A. HaydenM. Hunt
73′
L. AlessandraS. Scougall
82′
J. KayodeR. Loft
83′Elliot Watt
Ebou Adams84′
Full Time

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal4
13Total Shots13
4Blocked Shots3
5Shots insidebox6
8Shots outsidebox7
15Fouls14
4Corner Kicks4
2Offsides1
64%Ball Possession36%
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
493Total passes271
363Passes accurate144
74%Passes %53%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Forest Green is —, compared to 6.30 for Carlisle. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Forest Green's highest-rated starter is —, while Carlisle's best-rated player is A. Hayden (6.30).

Defensive Solidity

Forest Green deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Carlisle's 3-man backline averaging 6.30. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Forest Green field 6 midfielders averaging —, versus Carlisle's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Forest Green start 0 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Carlisle averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages —% for Forest Green and 71% for Carlisle. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Forest Green's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 1 for Carlisle. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Forest Green's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Carlisle average 28.0 (youngest: A. Hayden (28), oldest: A. Hayden (28)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Forest Green's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 2 for Carlisle. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Forest Green4-4-1-14-3-3Carlisle
GKDEFMIDFWD
26Logan5Mills6Rawson2Shephard20Kitching7Winches.14Adams42Bailey15Hall10Collins28March1Collin17Webster34Anderton6Hayden8Jones14Jones19Bridge7Thomas12Watt9Alessan.23Kayode

Substitutes

Coach: M. Cooper

Substitutes

Coach: C. Beech

Forest GreenPosition StrengthCarlisle
Avg Rating
6.30
Defender (4 v 3)6.30
0G 0A0G 0A
Forest Green4-4-1-1
26GoalkeeperC. Logan
5DefenderM. Mills
6DefenderF. Rawson
2DefenderL. Shephard
20DefenderL. Kitching
7MidfielderC. Winchester
14MidfielderE. Adams
42MidfielderO. Bailey
15MidfielderR. Hall
10MidfielderA. Collins
28MidfielderJ. March
Carlisle4-3-3
1GoalkeeperA. Collin
17DefenderB. Webster
34DefenderN. Anderton
6DefenderA. Hayden6.3
8MidfielderM. Jones
14MidfielderG. Jones
19MidfielderJ. Bridge
12MidfielderE. Watt
23MidfielderJ. Kayode
7ForwardN. Thomas
9ForwardL. Alessandra

Match Summary

Carlisle defeated Forest Green 4:1. The match was played in League Two 2019. Goals were scored by N. Thomas 23′, N. Thomas 26′, N. Thomas 47′ (pen.), J. Kayode 49′, C. Winchester 59′ (pen.). 4 yellow cards were shown. Forest Green had 64% possession while Carlisle held 36%. Forest Green had 13 shots (6 on target) compared to 13 (6 on target) for Carlisle. Forest Green made 3 substitutions, Carlisle made 3.

Rivalry since 2017

Forest Green vs Carlisle Head to Head Results

13 stretnutí
Forest Green
5
wins
Drawn
3
Carlisle
5
wins
Total goals
31 · 2.4/match
Both scored
6/13 · 46%
Over 2.5
6/13 · 46%

Recent Form

Forest Green

LWLWDW

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Forest Green5wins
2draws10 meetings
Carlisle3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (59%) — the odds may underestimate Carlisle.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 61.5%Draw 25.4%Away 17.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.603.805.68
Max1.654.006.00
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite:Forest Green · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market59.0%24.0%16.9%
Public market59.3%24.4%16.3%

Forest Green vs Carlisle — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Carlisle
Result vs. Market: Forest Green (61%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Forest GreenHalf-time:02Carlisle
13Shots13
6Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
22/01/22Forest Green3–0Carlisle1.67/3.66/5.50
02/10/21Carlisle0–2Forest Green3.43/3.38/2.11
02/02/21Carlisle1–2Forest Green1.83/3.69/4.28
19/12/20Forest Green1–0Carlisle2.62/3.11/2.85
28/01/20Forest Green1–4Carlisle1.63/3.93/5.83
17/09/19Carlisle0–0Forest Green2.40/3.37/3.06
16/03/19Forest Green1–1Carlisle1.83/3.69/4.32
24/11/18Carlisle1–2Forest Green3.02/3.42/2.40
27/01/18Carlisle1–0Forest Green1.80/3.72/4.61
23/12/17Forest Green0–1Carlisle4.11/3.50/1.93

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Forest Green

W 100D 69L 97
Over 2.546
Goals scored343

Away Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026