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Carlisle vs Forest Green

Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria2 October 2021 at 15:00
Referee: S. Barrott

Match Events

Carlisle
Forest Green
Kick Off
29′
J. Matt

assist: B. Stevenson

32′
N. Cadden

assist: J. Matt

Brennan Dickenson45+2′
Half Time
53′
D. SweeneyB. Cargill
60′Regan Hendry
G. TouréT. Abrahams
66′
B. YoungZ. Clough
71′
72′
M. StevensJ. Aitchison
J. ArmerL. Bell
80′
Tristan Abrahams90+1′
90′
R. HendryJ. March
Full Time

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal5
14Total Shots13
7Blocked Shots2
8Shots insidebox11
6Shots outsidebox2
11Fouls13
4Corner Kicks6
1Offsides1
46%Ball Possession54%
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
311Total passes382
181Passes accurate243
58%Passes %64%

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Carlisle deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Forest Green's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Carlisle field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Forest Green's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Carlisle start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Forest Green averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Age & Experience

The average age of Carlisle's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Forest Green average 31.0 (youngest: J. Moore-Taylor (31), oldest: J. Moore-Taylor (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Carlisle4-3-33-4-1-2Forest Green
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Norman17Whelan16Feeney6Dinzeyi3Armer11Dickens.7Riley8Guy12Mellish20Touré30Young1McGee15Moore-T.2Wilson3Bernard11Cadden21Hendry8Adams7Stevens.14Matt4Sweeney9Stevens

Substitutes

Coach: C. Beech

Substitutes

Coach: R. Edwards

CarlislePosition StrengthForest Green
Carlisle4-3-3
1GoalkeeperM. Norman
16DefenderM. Feeney
6DefenderJ. Dinzeyi
3DefenderJ. Armer
7DefenderJ. Riley
17MidfielderC. Whelan
8MidfielderC. Guy
12MidfielderJ. Mellish
11ForwardB. Dickenson
20ForwardG. Touré
30ForwardB. Young
Forest Green3-4-1-2
1GoalkeeperL. McGee
15DefenderJ. Moore-Taylor
3DefenderD. Bernard
4DefenderD. Sweeney
2MidfielderK. Wilson
11MidfielderN. Cadden
21MidfielderR. Hendry
7MidfielderB. Stevenson
8ForwardE. Adams
14ForwardJ. Matt
9ForwardM. Stevens

Match Summary

Forest Green defeated Carlisle 2:0. The match was played in League Two 2021. Goals were scored by J. Matt 29′, N. Cadden 32′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Carlisle had 46% possession while Forest Green held 54%. Carlisle had 14 shots (1 on target) compared to 13 (6 on target) for Forest Green. Carlisle made 3 substitutions, Forest Green made 3.

Rivalry since 2017

Carlisle vs Forest Green Head to Head Results

13 stretnutí
Carlisle
6
wins
Drawn
3
Forest Green
4
wins
Total goals
34 · 2.6/match
Both scored
7/13 · 54%
Over 2.5
7/13 · 54%

Recent Form

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Forest Green

LWLWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Carlisle3wins
2draws10 meetings
Forest Green5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 6.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 29.1%Draw 29.6%Away 47.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.303.302.05
Max3.603.452.17
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Forest Green · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market28.2%27.7%44.1%
Public market26.5%28.1%45.4%
Δ1.6%0.3%1.3%

Carlisle vs Forest Green — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Forest Green
Result vs. Market: Forest Green (47%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:02Forest Green
14Shots13
1Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
22/01/22Forest Green3–0Carlisle1.67/3.66/5.50
02/10/21Carlisle0–2Forest Green3.43/3.38/2.11
02/02/21Carlisle1–2Forest Green1.83/3.69/4.28
19/12/20Forest Green1–0Carlisle2.62/3.11/2.85
28/01/20Forest Green1–4Carlisle1.63/3.93/5.83
17/09/19Carlisle0–0Forest Green2.40/3.37/3.06
16/03/19Forest Green1–1Carlisle1.83/3.69/4.32
24/11/18Carlisle1–2Forest Green3.02/3.42/2.40
27/01/18Carlisle1–0Forest Green1.80/3.72/4.61
23/12/17Forest Green0–1Carlisle4.11/3.50/1.93

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Away Record: Forest Green

W 100D 69L 97
Over 2.546
Goals scored343

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026