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Carlisle vs Forest Green

Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria2 February 2021 at 18:00
Referee: D. Bourne

Match Events

Carlisle
Forest Green
Kick Off
Half Time
L. AlessandraO. Zanzala
60′
60′
A. Collins

Penalty

O. PatrickG. Touré
61′
J. MellishB. Dickenson
61′
G. Touré

assist: J. Riley

72′
Rhys Bennett73′
75′
O. Bailey
Joe Riley76′
76′Odin Bailey
C. GuyE. Walker
80′
80′
O. BaileyK. Wilson
82′Dan Sweeney
N. AndertonT. Charters
86′
90′Baily Cargill
Full Time

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal4
12Total Shots11
4Blocked Shots2
4Shots insidebox8
8Shots outsidebox3
24Fouls7
3Corner Kicks6
2Offsides1
37%Ball Possession63%
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves4
236Total passes385
108Passes accurate249
46%Passes %65%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Carlisle is 6.30, compared to — for Forest Green. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Carlisle's highest-rated starter is A. Hayden (6.30), while Forest Green's best-rated player is —.

Defensive Solidity

Carlisle deploy 4 defenders rated 6.30 on average, against Forest Green's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Carlisle field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Forest Green's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Carlisle start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Forest Green averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 71% for Carlisle and —% for Forest Green. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Carlisle's starters have collected 1 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Forest Green. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Carlisle's starting XI is 28.0 (youngest: A. Hayden (28), oldest: A. Hayden (28)), while Forest Green average 31.0 (youngest: J. Moore-Taylor (31), oldest: J. Moore-Taylor (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Carlisle's starters average 2 league appearances each, versus 0 for Forest Green. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Carlisle4-3-34-4-2Forest Green
GKDEFMIDFWD
21Farman32Bennett3Anderton6Hayden17Armer11Patrick7Riley8Guy9Alessan.12Mellish14Kayode24Thomas5Stokes15Moore-T.6Cargill22Godwin-.20Whiteho.11Cadden17Bailey4Sweeney10Collins23Davison

Substitutes

Coach: C. Beech

Substitutes

Coach: M. Cooper

CarlislePosition StrengthForest Green
6.30
Avg Rating
6.30Defender (4 v 4)
0G 0A0G 0A
Carlisle4-3-3
21GoalkeeperP. Farman
32DefenderR. Bennett
3DefenderN. Anderton
6DefenderA. Hayden6.3
17DefenderJ. Armer
7MidfielderJ. Riley
8MidfielderC. Guy
12MidfielderJ. Mellish
11ForwardO. Patrick
9ForwardL. Alessandra
14ForwardJ. Kayode
Forest Green4-4-2
24GoalkeeperL. Thomas
5DefenderC. Stokes
15DefenderJ. Moore-Taylor
6DefenderB. Cargill
22DefenderU. Godwin-Malife
20MidfielderE. Whitehouse
11MidfielderN. Cadden
17MidfielderO. Bailey
4MidfielderD. Sweeney
10ForwardA. Collins
23ForwardJ. Davison

Match Summary

Forest Green defeated Carlisle 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2020. Goals were scored by A. Collins 60′ (pen.), G. Touré 72′, O. Bailey 75′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Carlisle had 37% possession while Forest Green held 63%. Carlisle had 12 shots (5 on target) compared to 11 (5 on target) for Forest Green. Carlisle made 5 substitutions, Forest Green made 1.

Rivalry since 2017

Carlisle vs Forest Green Head to Head Results

13 stretnutí
Carlisle
6
wins
Drawn
3
Forest Green
4
wins
Total goals
33 · 2.5/match
Both scored
6/13 · 46%
Over 2.5
6/13 · 46%

Recent Form

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Forest Green

LWLWDW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Carlisle3wins
2draws10 meetings
Forest Green5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (51%) — the odds may underestimate Forest Green.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 54.5%Draw 27.1%Away 23.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.783.604.20
Max1.893.754.33
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Carlisle · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market51.3%26.1%22.6%
Public market52.3%25.5%22.1%

Carlisle vs Forest Green — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Forest Green
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (55%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:00Forest Green
12Shots11
5Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
22/01/22Forest Green3–0Carlisle1.67/3.66/5.50
02/10/21Carlisle0–2Forest Green3.43/3.38/2.11
02/02/21Carlisle1–2Forest Green1.83/3.69/4.28
19/12/20Forest Green1–0Carlisle2.62/3.11/2.85
28/01/20Forest Green1–4Carlisle1.63/3.93/5.83
17/09/19Carlisle0–0Forest Green2.40/3.37/3.06
16/03/19Forest Green1–1Carlisle1.83/3.69/4.32
24/11/18Carlisle1–2Forest Green3.02/3.42/2.40
27/01/18Carlisle1–0Forest Green1.80/3.72/4.61
23/12/17Forest Green0–1Carlisle4.11/3.50/1.93

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Away Record: Forest Green

W 100D 69L 97
Over 2.546
Goals scored343

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026