Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Manchester City dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.9
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
30%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (84%) — the odds may underestimate Manchester City.
Market Summary
Margin: 3.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.16 | 6.50 | 19.00 |
| Max | 1.18 | 8.55 | 22.50 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 84.2% | 11.4% | 4.3% |
| Public market | 82.7% | 12.2% | 5.1% |
| Δ | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
Manchester City vs Burnley — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2525/26 | Manchester City | 5–1 | Burnley | 1.17/7.93/14.72 |
| 31/01/2423/24 | Manchester City | 3–1 | Burnley | 1.08/11.80/20.87 |
| 11/08/2323/24 | Burnley | 0–3 | Manchester City | 8.19/5.34/1.32 |
| 02/04/2221/22 | Burnley | 0–2 | Manchester City | 15.00/6.31/1.22 |
| 16/10/2121/22 | Manchester City | 2–0 | Burnley | 1.12/9.31/22.22 |
| 03/02/2120/21 | Burnley | 0–2 | Manchester City | 14.27/6.69/1.21 |
| 28/11/2020/21 | Manchester City | 5–0 | Burnley | 1.17/7.77/15.99 |
| 22/06/2019/20 | Manchester City | 5–0 | Burnley | 1.12/9.11/19.34 |
| 03/12/1919/20 | Burnley | 1–4 | Manchester City | 11.27/6.71/1.24 |
| 20/10/1818/19 | Manchester City | 5–0 | Burnley | 1.08/12.65/30.90 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Manchester City
Away Record: Burnley
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Manchester City and Burnley drew 2:2. The match was played in Premier League 2014. Goals were scored by David Silva 23′, Fernandinho 33′, G. Boyd 47′, A. Barnes 81′. Manchester City made 3 substitutions, Burnley made 0.
Match Events
Key match events between Manchester City and Burnley — 4 goals and 0 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Jesús Navas
assist: S. Nasri
assist: D. Ings
assist: M. Keane
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Manchester City have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats. Burnley show 0 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.
Manchester City
Burnley
Manchester City vs Burnley Head to Head Results
Manchester City and Burnley have met 21 times — Manchester City won 19, Burnley won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2015. Manchester City leads the head-to-head with 19 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 72 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.43 per match (64 for the home side, 8 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Manchester City are currently unbeaten in the last 20 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2025.
19
Manchester City
1
Drawn
1
Burnley
Recent Meetings (21)
API data: 15 Mar 2026