2 January 2017 at 15:00

Referee: Lee Mason

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Manchester City dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Manchester City10wins
0draws10 meetings
Burnley0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.9

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (83%) — the odds may underestimate Manchester City.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 85.0%Draw 12.5%Away 5.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.177.0015.00
Max1.188.5519.00
Market favourite:Manchester City · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market83.0%11.4%5.6%
Public market83.4%11.5%5.1%

Manchester City vs Burnley — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Manchester City
Result vs. Market: Manchester City (85%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Manchester CityHalf-time:00Burnley
14Shots11
3Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
27/09/25Manchester City5–1Burnley1.17/7.93/14.72
31/01/24Manchester City3–1Burnley1.08/11.80/20.87
11/08/23Burnley0–3Manchester City8.19/5.34/1.32
02/04/22Burnley0–2Manchester City15.00/6.31/1.22
16/10/21Manchester City2–0Burnley1.12/9.31/22.22
03/02/21Burnley0–2Manchester City14.27/6.69/1.21
28/11/20Manchester City5–0Burnley1.17/7.77/15.99
22/06/20Manchester City5–0Burnley1.12/9.11/19.34
03/12/19Burnley1–4Manchester City11.27/6.71/1.24
20/10/18Manchester City5–0Burnley1.08/12.65/30.90

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Manchester City

W 554D 225L 286
Over 2.555
Goals scored1927

Away Record: Burnley

W 92D 93L 189
Over 2.548
Goals scored374

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Manchester City defeated Burnley 2:1. The match was played in Premier League 2016. Goals were scored by G. Clichy 58′, S. Agüero 62′, B. Mee 70′. 7 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Manchester City had 55% possession while Burnley held 45%. Manchester City had 14 shots (3 on target) compared to 11 (3 on target) for Burnley. Manchester City made 3 substitutions, Burnley made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Manchester City and Burnley — 3 goals and 8 cards recorded during the match.

Manchester City
Burnley
Kick Off
38′Jeff Hendrick
Yaya Touré41′
Half Time
K. IheanachoS. Agüero
46′
Jesús NavasDavid Silva
46′
G. Clichy
58′
59′
J. Guðmunds­sonS. Defour
S. Agüero

assist: R. Sterling

62′
69′
A. BarnesS. Vokes
70′
Aleksandar Kolarov71′
Bacary Sagna71′
88′
S. ArfieldP. Bamford
R. SterlingJ. Stones
89′
David Silva90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Manchester City had 55% possession against Burnley's 45%. Manchester City registered 14 shots (3 on target) while Burnley managed 11 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 8–8. Fouls committed: 11–11.

3Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal6
14Total Shots11
7Blocked Shots2
5Shots insidebox6
9Shots outsidebox5
11Fouls11
8Corner Kicks8
3Offsides3
55%Ball Possession45%
4Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
450Total passes357
359Passes accurate247
80%Passes %69%

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Manchester City have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats. Burnley show 0 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.

Manchester City

WWWWWL

Burnley

LLLLDL

Manchester City vs Burnley Head to Head Results

Manchester City and Burnley have met 21 times — Manchester City won 18, Burnley won 1, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Manchester City leads the head-to-head with 18 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 73 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.48 per match (64 for the home side, 9 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Manchester City are currently unbeaten in the last 19 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2025.

18

Manchester City

2

Drawn

1

Burnley

Goals: 64Goals: 9

Recent Meetings (21)

22 Apr 2026Burnley0 – 1Manchester City
27 Sept 2025Manchester City5 – 1Burnley
31 Jan 2024Manchester City3 – 1Burnley
11 Aug 2023Burnley0 – 3Manchester City
18 Mar 2023Manchester City6 – 0Burnley
2 Apr 2022Burnley0 – 2Manchester City
16 Oct 2021Manchester City2 – 0Burnley
3 Feb 2021Burnley0 – 2Manchester City
28 Nov 2020Manchester City5 – 0Burnley
30 Sept 2020Burnley0 – 3Manchester City
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026