14 March 2015 at 17:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Manchester City dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.9
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
30%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (13%) — the odds may underestimate Manchester City.
Market Summary
Margin: 3.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 7.00 | 4.50 | 1.44 |
| Max | 7.62 | 5.00 | 1.46 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 12.8% | 20.2% | 67.0% |
| Public market | 13.0% | 19.5% | 67.6% |
Burnley vs Manchester City — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2525/26 | Manchester City | 5–1 | Burnley | 1.17/7.93/14.72 |
| 31/01/2423/24 | Manchester City | 3–1 | Burnley | 1.08/11.80/20.87 |
| 11/08/2323/24 | Burnley | 0–3 | Manchester City | 8.19/5.34/1.32 |
| 02/04/2221/22 | Burnley | 0–2 | Manchester City | 15.00/6.31/1.22 |
| 16/10/2121/22 | Manchester City | 2–0 | Burnley | 1.12/9.31/22.22 |
| 03/02/2120/21 | Burnley | 0–2 | Manchester City | 14.27/6.69/1.21 |
| 28/11/2020/21 | Manchester City | 5–0 | Burnley | 1.17/7.77/15.99 |
| 22/06/2019/20 | Manchester City | 5–0 | Burnley | 1.12/9.11/19.34 |
| 03/12/1919/20 | Burnley | 1–4 | Manchester City | 11.27/6.71/1.24 |
| 20/10/1818/19 | Manchester City | 5–0 | Burnley | 1.08/12.65/30.90 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Burnley
Away Record: Manchester City
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Burnley defeated Manchester City 1:0. The match was played in Premier League 2014. Goals were scored by G. Boyd 61′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Burnley had 34% possession while Manchester City held 66%. Burnley made 2 substitutions, Manchester City made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Burnley and Manchester City — 1 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
Match Statistics
Burnley had 34% possession against Manchester City's 66%. Burnley registered 0 shots (3 on target) while Manchester City managed 0 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 2–6. Fouls committed: 5–9.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Burnley have recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats. Manchester City show 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Burnley
Manchester City
Burnley vs Manchester City Head to Head Results
Burnley and Manchester City have met 21 times — Burnley won 0, Manchester City won 19, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Manchester City leads the head-to-head with 19 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 75 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.57 per match (9 for the home side, 66 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (38%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 games (71%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Manchester City are currently unbeaten in the last 21 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2025.
0
Burnley
2
Drawn
19
Manchester City
Recent Meetings (21)
API data: 15 Mar 2026