18 December 2016 at 16:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.1
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate Manchester City.
Market Summary
Margin: 3.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.13 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Max | 2.20 | 3.60 | 3.70 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 46.0% | 27.5% | 26.5% |
| Public market | 45.2% | 27.0% | 27.8% |
| Δ | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% |
Manchester City vs Arsenal — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2525/26 | Arsenal | 1–1 | Manchester City | 1.89/3.85/3.90 |
| 02/02/2524/25 | Arsenal | 5–1 | Manchester City | 1.96/3.54/3.87 |
| 22/09/2424/25 | Manchester City | 2–2 | Arsenal | 1.83/3.59/4.51 |
| 31/03/2423/24 | Manchester City | 0–0 | Arsenal | 1.91/3.82/3.81 |
| 08/10/2323/24 | Arsenal | 1–0 | Manchester City | 2.88/3.46/2.42 |
| 26/04/2322/23 | Manchester City | 4–1 | Arsenal | 1.55/4.45/5.59 |
| 15/02/2322/23 | Arsenal | 1–3 | Manchester City | 2.91/3.50/2.40 |
| 01/01/2221/22 | Arsenal | 1–2 | Manchester City | 5.85/4.55/1.52 |
| 28/08/2121/22 | Manchester City | 5–0 | Arsenal | 1.25/6.03/12.20 |
| 17/10/2020/21 | Manchester City | 1–0 | Arsenal | 1.47/4.87/6.29 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Manchester City
Away Record: Arsenal
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Manchester City defeated Arsenal 2:1. The match was played in Premier League 2016. Goals were scored by T. Walcott 5′, L. Sané 47′, R. Sterling 71′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Manchester City had 60% possession while Arsenal held 40%. Manchester City had 14 shots (5 on target) compared to 6 (1 on target) for Arsenal. Manchester City made 3 substitutions, Arsenal made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Manchester City and Arsenal — 3 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.
assist: A. Sánchez
assist: David Silva
assist: K. De Bruyne
Match Statistics
Manchester City had 60% possession against Arsenal's 40%. Manchester City registered 14 shots (5 on target) while Arsenal managed 6 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 8–1. Fouls committed: 9–13.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Manchester City have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats. Arsenal show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Manchester City
Arsenal
Manchester City vs Arsenal Head to Head Results
Manchester City and Arsenal have met 38 times — Manchester City won 21, Arsenal won 8, with 9 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Manchester City leads the head-to-head with 21 victories from 38 meetings. A combined 108 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.84 per match (68 for the home side, 40 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 17 matches (45%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 21 games (55%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Manchester City are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–3 in 2013.
21
Manchester City
9
Drawn
8
Arsenal
Recent Meetings (38)
API data: 15 Mar 2026