8 October 2023 at 15:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.1
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Market Summary
Margin: 5.0%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.40 |
| Max | 2.99 | 3.60 | 2.46 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 32.6% | 27.9% | 39.6% |
| Public market | 32.4% | 28.5% | 39.1% |
Arsenal vs Manchester City — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2525/26 | Arsenal | 1–1 | Manchester City | 1.89/3.85/3.90 |
| 02/02/2524/25 | Arsenal | 5–1 | Manchester City | 1.96/3.54/3.87 |
| 22/09/2424/25 | Manchester City | 2–2 | Arsenal | 1.83/3.59/4.51 |
| 31/03/2423/24 | Manchester City | 0–0 | Arsenal | 1.91/3.82/3.81 |
| 08/10/2323/24 | Arsenal | 1–0 | Manchester City | 2.88/3.46/2.42 |
| 26/04/2322/23 | Manchester City | 4–1 | Arsenal | 1.55/4.45/5.59 |
| 15/02/2322/23 | Arsenal | 1–3 | Manchester City | 2.91/3.50/2.40 |
| 01/01/2221/22 | Arsenal | 1–2 | Manchester City | 5.85/4.55/1.52 |
| 28/08/2121/22 | Manchester City | 5–0 | Arsenal | 1.25/6.03/12.20 |
| 17/10/2020/21 | Manchester City | 1–0 | Arsenal | 1.47/4.87/6.29 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Arsenal
Away Record: Manchester City
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Arsenal defeated Manchester City 1:0. The match was played in Premier League 2023. Goals were scored by Gabriel Martinelli 86′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Arsenal had 49% possession while Manchester City held 51%. Arsenal had 12 shots (2 on target) compared to 4 (1 on target) for Manchester City. Expected goals: Arsenal 0.39 — Manchester City 0.48. Arsenal made 4 substitutions, Manchester City made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Arsenal and Manchester City — 1 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
assist: K. Havertz
Match Statistics
Arsenal had 49% possession against Manchester City's 51%. Arsenal registered 12 shots (2 on target) while Manchester City managed 4 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 5–4. Fouls committed: 8–7.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Arsenal have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats. Manchester City show 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Arsenal
Manchester City
Arsenal vs Manchester City Head to Head Results
Arsenal and Manchester City have met 38 times — Arsenal won 7, Manchester City won 22, with 9 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Manchester City leads the head-to-head with 22 victories from 38 meetings. A combined 110 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.89 per match (40 for the home side, 70 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 18 matches (47%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 22 games (58%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Manchester City are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–3 in 2013.
7
Arsenal
9
Drawn
22
Manchester City
Recent Meetings (38)
API data: 15 Mar 2026