10 October 2022 at 19:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
75%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (29%) — the odds may underestimate Nottingham Forest.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.15 |
| Max | 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.22 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 28.8% | 27.2% | 44.1% |
| Public market | 28.8% | 28.0% | 43.2% |
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2625/26 | Nottingham Forest | 1–1 | Aston Villa | 2.63/3.30/2.70 |
| 03/01/2625/26 | Aston Villa | 3–1 | Nottingham Forest | 1.75/3.88/4.67 |
| 05/04/2524/25 | Aston Villa | 2–1 | Nottingham Forest | 1.98/3.65/3.75 |
| 14/12/2424/25 | Nottingham Forest | 2–1 | Aston Villa | 2.64/3.36/2.69 |
| 24/02/2423/24 | Aston Villa | 4–2 | Nottingham Forest | 1.51/4.54/5.70 |
| 05/11/2323/24 | Nottingham Forest | 2–0 | Aston Villa | 4.09/3.77/1.85 |
| 08/04/2322/23 | Aston Villa | 2–0 | Nottingham Forest | 1.61/4.05/5.52 |
| 10/10/2222/23 | Nottingham Forest | 1–1 | Aston Villa | 3.37/3.43/2.19 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Nottingham Forest
Away Record: Aston Villa
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa drew 1:1. The match was played in Premier League 2022. Goals were scored by E. Dennis 15′, A. Young 22′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Nottingham Forest had 40% possession while Aston Villa held 60%. Nottingham Forest had 6 shots (3 on target) compared to 12 (2 on target) for Aston Villa. Nottingham Forest made 3 substitutions, Aston Villa made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa — 2 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.
assist: M. Gibbs-White
Match Statistics
Nottingham Forest had 40% possession against Aston Villa's 60%. Nottingham Forest registered 6 shots (3 on target) while Aston Villa managed 12 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 1–4. Fouls committed: 13–19.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Nottingham Forest have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats. Aston Villa show 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Head to Head Results
Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa have met 2 times — Nottingham Forest won 0, Aston Villa won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2026. Aston Villa leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 6 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (2 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2026.
0
Nottingham Forest
1
Drawn
1
Aston Villa
Recent Meetings (2)
API data: 15 Mar 2026