12 April 2026 at 13:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
75%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (36%) — the odds may underestimate Nottingham Forest.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.4%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| Max | 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2625/26 | Nottingham Forest | 1–1 | Aston Villa | 2.63/3.30/2.70 |
| 03/01/2625/26 | Aston Villa | 3–1 | Nottingham Forest | 1.75/3.88/4.67 |
| 05/04/2524/25 | Aston Villa | 2–1 | Nottingham Forest | 1.98/3.65/3.75 |
| 14/12/2424/25 | Nottingham Forest | 2–1 | Aston Villa | 2.64/3.36/2.69 |
| 24/02/2423/24 | Aston Villa | 4–2 | Nottingham Forest | 1.51/4.54/5.70 |
| 05/11/2323/24 | Nottingham Forest | 2–0 | Aston Villa | 4.09/3.77/1.85 |
| 08/04/2322/23 | Aston Villa | 2–0 | Nottingham Forest | 1.61/4.05/5.52 |
| 10/10/2222/23 | Nottingham Forest | 1–1 | Aston Villa | 3.37/3.43/2.19 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Nottingham Forest
Away Record: Aston Villa
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa drew 1:1. The match was played in Premier League 2025. Goals were scored by Murillo 23′ (o.g.), Neco Williams 38′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Nottingham Forest had 41% possession while Aston Villa held 59%. Nottingham Forest had 15 shots (4 on target) compared to 12 (5 on target) for Aston Villa. Expected goals: Nottingham Forest 1.20 — Aston Villa 0.98. Nottingham Forest made 4 substitutions, Aston Villa made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa — 2 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
Own Goal
assist: Callum Hudson-Odoi
Match Statistics
Nottingham Forest had 41% possession against Aston Villa's 59%. Nottingham Forest registered 15 shots (4 on target) while Aston Villa managed 12 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 7–3. Fouls committed: 15–10.
Lineups
Nottingham Forest lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under Vitor Pereira, while Aston Villa deployed a 4-2-3-1 under Unai Emery.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Nottingham Forest is 6.88, compared to 6.85 for Aston Villa. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Nottingham Forest's highest-rated starter is Elliot Anderson (7.28), while Aston Villa's best-rated player is Youri Tielemans (7.18).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Nottingham Forest have contributed 23 goals and 19 assists this season, led by Morgan Gibbs-White (9G). Aston Villa's starters account for 28 goals and 19 assists, spearheaded by Ollie Watkins (9G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Nottingham Forest deploy 4 defenders rated 6.92 on average, against Aston Villa's 4-man backline averaging 6.82. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Nottingham Forest field 5 midfielders averaging 6.93, versus Aston Villa's 5 rated 6.98. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Nottingham Forest start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.53, compared to 1 for Aston Villa averaging 6.71. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 81% for Nottingham Forest and 83% for Aston Villa. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Nottingham Forest's starters have collected 34 yellow cards this season, compared to 28 for Aston Villa. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Nottingham Forest's starting XI is 25.8 (youngest: Omari Hutchinson (22), oldest: Matz Sels (33)), while Aston Villa average 29.2 (youngest: Morgan Rogers (23), oldest: Marco Bizot (34)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Nottingham Forest's starters average 27 league appearances each, versus 22 for Aston Villa. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Vitor Pereira
Substitutes
Coach: Unai Emery
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Nottingham Forest have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats. Aston Villa show 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Head to Head Results
Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa have met 1 times — Nottingham Forest won 0, Aston Villa won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2026. Aston Villa leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 4 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.00 per match (1 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2026.
0
Nottingham Forest
0
Drawn
1
Aston Villa
Recent Meetings (1)
API data: 14 Apr 2026