12 November 2023 at 16:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Manchester City dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.5
Average goals per game
30%
Games with 3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (20%) — the odds may underestimate Manchester City.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 4.80 | 3.70 | 1.67 |
| Max | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.75 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 19.6% | 25.4% | 55.1% |
| Public market | 19.1% | 25.8% | 55.1% |
Chelsea vs Manchester City — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2625/26 | Chelsea | 0–3 | Manchester City | 3.10/3.80/2.15 |
| 04/01/2625/26 | Manchester City | 1–1 | Chelsea | 1.63/4.71/4.57 |
| 25/01/2524/25 | Manchester City | 3–1 | Chelsea | 2.03/4.03/3.30 |
| 18/08/2424/25 | Chelsea | 0–2 | Manchester City | 4.10/3.94/1.82 |
| 17/02/2423/24 | Manchester City | 1–1 | Chelsea | 1.32/5.57/8.12 |
| 12/11/2323/24 | Chelsea | 4–4 | Manchester City | 4.91/3.73/1.72 |
| 21/05/2322/23 | Manchester City | 1–0 | Chelsea | 1.25/6.13/11.38 |
| 05/01/2322/23 | Chelsea | 0–1 | Manchester City | 5.20/4.03/1.66 |
| 15/01/2221/22 | Manchester City | 1–0 | Chelsea | 1.68/3.85/5.15 |
| 25/09/2121/22 | Chelsea | 0–1 | Manchester City | 2.66/3.23/2.76 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Chelsea
Away Record: Manchester City
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Chelsea and Manchester City drew 4:4. The match was played in Premier League 2023. Goals were scored by E. Haaland 25′ (pen.), Thiago Silva 29′, R. Sterling 37′, M. Akanji 45′, E. Haaland 47′, N. Jackson 67′, Rodri 86′, C. Palmer 90′ (pen.). 8 yellow cards were shown. Chelsea had 45% possession while Manchester City held 55%. Chelsea had 17 shots (9 on target) compared to 15 (10 on target) for Manchester City. Expected goals: Chelsea 2.95 — Manchester City 2.88. Chelsea made 4 substitutions, Manchester City made 2.
Match Events
Key match events between Chelsea and Manchester City — 8 goals and 8 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
assist: C. Gallagher
assist: R. James
assist: Bernardo Silva
assist: J. Álvarez
assist: E. Haaland
Penalty
Match Statistics
Chelsea had 45% possession against Manchester City's 55%. Chelsea registered 17 shots (9 on target) while Manchester City managed 15 (10 on target). Corner kicks: 3–3. Fouls committed: 13–15.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Chelsea have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats. Manchester City show 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Chelsea
Manchester City
Chelsea vs Manchester City Head to Head Results
Chelsea and Manchester City have met 2 times — Chelsea won 0, Manchester City won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2026. Manchester City leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 5 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.50 per match (1 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–3 in 2026.
0
Chelsea
1
Drawn
1
Manchester City
Recent Meetings (2)
API data: 15 Mar 2026