12 April 2026 at 15:30

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Manchester City dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Chelsea0wins
3draws10 meetings
Manchester City7wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (31%) — the odds may underestimate Manchester City.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 32.3%Draw 26.3%Away 46.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.103.802.15
Max3.103.802.15
Over 2.5: 63.7%Under 2.5: 42.0%
Market favourite:Manchester City · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Manchester City
Result vs. Market: Manchester City (47%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ChelseaHalf-time:00Manchester City
12Shots18
3Shots on target8

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
12/04/26Chelsea0–3Manchester City3.10/3.80/2.15
04/01/26Manchester City1–1Chelsea1.63/4.71/4.57
25/01/25Manchester City3–1Chelsea2.03/4.03/3.30
18/08/24Chelsea0–2Manchester City4.10/3.94/1.82
17/02/24Manchester City1–1Chelsea1.32/5.57/8.12
12/11/23Chelsea4–4Manchester City4.91/3.73/1.72
21/05/23Manchester City1–0Chelsea1.25/6.13/11.38
05/01/23Chelsea0–1Manchester City5.20/4.03/1.66
15/01/22Manchester City1–0Chelsea1.68/3.85/5.15
25/09/21Chelsea0–1Manchester City2.66/3.23/2.76

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Chelsea

W 666D 308L 282
Over 2.551
Goals scored2154

Away Record: Manchester City

W 554D 225L 286
Over 2.555
Goals scored1927

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Manchester City defeated Chelsea 3:0. The match was played in Premier League 2025. Goals were scored by Nico O'Reilly 51′, Marc Guéhi 57′, Jérémy Doku 68′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Chelsea had 36% possession while Manchester City held 64%. Chelsea had 12 shots (3 on target) compared to 18 (8 on target) for Manchester City. Expected goals: Chelsea 1.14 — Manchester City 1.89. Chelsea made 5 substitutions, Manchester City made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Chelsea and Manchester City — 3 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Chelsea
Manchester City
Kick Off
Half Time
51′
Nico O'Reilly

assist: Rayan Cherki

57′
Marc Guéhi

assist: Rayan Cherki

64′
Nico O'ReillyRayan Aït-Nouri
Andrey SantosRoméo Lavia
67′
EstêvãoAlejandro Garnacho
67′
76′
Rayan CherkiPhil Foden
76′
Jérémy DokuSavinho
João PedroLiam Delap
81′
81′
Bernardo SilvaMateo Kovačić
Moisés CaicedoDário Essugo
82′
Malo GustoJosh Acheampong
88′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Chelsea had 36% possession against Manchester City's 64%. Chelsea registered 12 shots (3 on target) while Manchester City managed 18 (8 on target). Corner kicks: 4–12. Fouls committed: 10–14.

3Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal4
12Total Shots18
5Blocked Shots6
7Shots insidebox14
5Shots outsidebox4
10Fouls14
4Corner Kicks12
6Offsides0
36%Ball Possession64%
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves3
385Total passes677
321Passes accurate617
83%Passes %91%
1.14expected_goals1.89
1goals_prevented1

Lineups

Chelsea lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under Liam Rosenior, while Manchester City deployed a 4-2-3-1 under Pep Guardiola.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Chelsea is 6.89, compared to 7.15 for Manchester City. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Chelsea's highest-rated starter is Moisés Caicedo (7.21), while Manchester City's best-rated player is Marc Guéhi (7.76).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Chelsea have contributed 36 goals and 21 assists this season, led by João Pedro (14G). Manchester City's starters account for 42 goals and 33 assists, spearheaded by Erling Haaland (22G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Chelsea deploy 4 defenders rated 6.73 on average, against Manchester City's 4-man backline averaging 7.13. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Chelsea field 5 midfielders averaging 6.96, versus Manchester City's 5 rated 7.15. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Chelsea start 1 forward(s) averaging 7.06, compared to 1 for Manchester City averaging 7.31. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 85% for Chelsea and 85% for Manchester City. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Chelsea's starters have collected 49 yellow cards this season, compared to 31 for Manchester City. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Chelsea's starting XI is 23.3 (youngest: Estêvão (18), oldest: Robert Sánchez (28)), while Manchester City average 24.9 (youngest: Nico O'Reilly (20), oldest: Bernardo Silva (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Chelsea's starters average 25 league appearances each, versus 23 for Manchester City. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Chelsea4-2-3-14-2-3-1Manchester City
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Sánchez27Gusto29Fofana21Hato3Cucurel.17Santos25Caicedo41Estêvão10Palmer7Neto20Pedro25Donnaru.27Nunes45Khusanov15Guéhi33O'Reilly20Silva16Rodri42Semenyo10Cherki11Doku9Haaland

Substitutes

Coach: Liam Rosenior

Substitutes

Coach: Pep Guardiola

ChelseaPosition StrengthManchester City
6.89
Avg Rating
7.15
6.98Goalkeeper (1 v 1)7.05
0G 1A0G 0A
6.73Defender (4 v 4)7.13
3G 7A7G 7A
6.96Midfielder (5 v 5)7.15
19G 8A13G 19A
7.06Forward (1 v 1)7.31
14G 5A22G 7A
Chelsea4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperRobert Sánchez7.01A
27DefenderMalo Gusto6.72G3A
29DefenderWesley Fofana7.01A
21DefenderJorrel Hato6.5
3DefenderMarc Cucurella6.81G3A
17MidfielderAndrey Santos6.8
25MidfielderMoisés Caicedo7.23G1A
41MidfielderEstêvão6.72G2A
10MidfielderCole Palmer7.19G1A
7MidfielderPedro Neto7.05G4A
20ForwardJoão Pedro7.114G5A
Manchester City4-2-3-1
25GoalkeeperGianluigi Donnarumma7.0
27DefenderMatheus Nunes7.01G4A
45DefenderAbdukodir Khusanov6.9
15DefenderMarc Guéhi7.81G
33DefenderNico O'Reilly6.95G3A
20MidfielderBernardo Silva6.82G4A
16MidfielderRodri7.41G
42MidfielderAntoine Semenyo6.95G1A
10MidfielderRayan Cherki7.23G10A
11MidfielderJérémy Doku7.32G4A
9ForwardErling Haaland7.322G7A

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Chelsea have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats. Manchester City show 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Chelsea

LWLLLL

Manchester City

WWWLDL

Chelsea vs Manchester City Head to Head Results

Chelsea and Manchester City have met 1 times — Chelsea won 0, Manchester City won 0, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2026. A combined 2 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (1 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–1 in 2026.

0

Chelsea

1

Drawn

0

Manchester City

Goals: 1Goals: 1

Recent Meetings (1)

4 Jan 2026Manchester City1 – 1Chelsea
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 Apr 2026