15 May 2023 at 19:15
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.8
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (37%) — the odds may underestimate Estoril.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.4%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.45 | 3.07 | 2.80 |
| Max | 2.65 | 3.10 | 3.03 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 36.5% | 31.5% | 31.9% |
| Public market | 37.5% | 29.7% | 32.8% |
| Δ | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
Estoril vs Arouca — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/2625/26 | Arouca | 3–2 | Estoril | 2.45/3.40/2.65 |
| 07/11/2525/26 | Estoril | 4–3 | Arouca | 1.97/3.57/3.79 |
| 16/03/2524/25 | Arouca | 1–1 | Estoril | 1.95/3.37/3.79 |
| 26/10/2424/25 | Estoril | 4–1 | Arouca | 2.97/3.17/2.44 |
| 20/01/2423/24 | Estoril | 1–2 | Arouca | 2.42/3.39/2.86 |
| 13/08/2323/24 | Arouca | 4–3 | Estoril | 2.07/3.14/3.60 |
| 15/05/2322/23 | Estoril | 2–0 | Arouca | 2.55/3.09/2.88 |
| 07/01/2322/23 | Arouca | 2–0 | Estoril | 2.27/3.26/3.28 |
| 27/01/2221/22 | Estoril | 1–2 | Arouca | 2.00/3.40/3.82 |
| 07/08/2121/22 | Arouca | 0–2 | Estoril | 2.26/3.19/3.36 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Estoril
Away Record: Arouca
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Estoril defeated Arouca 2:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2022. Goals were scored by João Carvalho 68′, Cassiano 90′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Estoril had 40% possession while Arouca held 60%. Estoril had 9 shots (4 on target) compared to 16 (3 on target) for Arouca. Estoril made 5 substitutions, Arouca made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Estoril and Arouca — 2 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Joãozinho
Match Statistics
Estoril had 40% possession against Arouca's 60%. Estoril registered 9 shots (4 on target) while Arouca managed 16 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 4–2. Fouls committed: 16–23.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Estoril have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats. Arouca show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Estoril
Arouca
Estoril vs Arouca Head to Head Results
Estoril and Arouca have met 21 times — Estoril won 7, Arouca won 9, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Arouca leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 63 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (32 for the home side, 31 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 15 matches (71%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (48%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–3 in 2025.
7
Estoril
5
Drawn
9
Arouca
Recent Meetings (21)
API data: 15 Mar 2026